Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
My Predictions

Will Hillary Clinton or Barak Obama drop out of the primaries before one of them reaches 2025 delegates?

Settled as No

http://edition.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/05/31/dems.delegates/index.html


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
21%
No
79%
Activity: H$34,177
Settled as No on Sat 31st May 8:37pm PDT

Suspend date: None Settlement date: Sat 31st May 8:37pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 31st May 4:20pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Thu 6th Mar 7:28am PST by seth
Suspended Sat 31st May 4:14pm PDT by destry[Admin]: Flagged by super user: Question suspended pending update of delegates counts after rules committee meeting.
Settlement requested Sat 31st May 6:12pm PDT by destry[Admin]: With the new delegates awarded. Both candidates are still in the primaries and one of them has reached 2025.
http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/05/31/1091679.aspx
Unsuspended Sat 31st May 8:34pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]

Suspend date: None Settlement date: Sat 31st May 8:37pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 31st May 4:20pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (87)

87 predictions

26 weeks ago
thereverend predicted No (H$50 at 75%)
26 weeks ago
elfis predicted Yes (H$450 at 31%)
26 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted No (H$250 at 70%)
27 weeks ago
owl1 predicted Yes (H$250 at 39%)
27 weeks ago
zigpip predicted Yes (H$100 at 38%)
more

Comments (3)

  1 melmel07
Considering that neither of them can possibly reach 2025 delegates (w/o some scandal or major upset), is it assumed that if one drops out before the convention, the settlement is Yes, but if neither drops out, it settles No?
posted 37 weeks ago
as i've been sa'in, a 'brokered-deal' is in the cards. Can anyone say 'Barack in 2016'?
posted 37 weeks ago
  3 dieseldog
this is another uproar waiting to happen. in the question and in the settlement details the "convention" is not mentioned. nobody must have ask for a clarifaction. if i bet then i'll bet even more it won't settle after the primaries are over...it will be interpuarted as by the convention.
posted 27 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more