Created Thu 3rd Apr 2008 12pm PST by
ryanj

Will Hillary Clinton regain the lead in the popular vote by the convention?
Settled as No
Background: Currently many Pundits as well as Clinton supporters are saying Clinton needs to regain the lead in the popular vote to become a viable candidate. Will she be able to do it?
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/democratic_vote_count.html
- Activity: H$35,970 |
- Predictions: 92 |
Comments: 14
Suspend date: Tue 10th Jun 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 4th Jun 2008 7:32am PST
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%
Action history:
Created Thu 3rd Apr 2008 12pm PST by
ryanj
Edited Thu 3rd Apr 2008 12:10pm PST by
ryanj
Settlement requested Mon 2nd Jun 2008 12:25am PST by
destry![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)
: Please settle. The DNC is allowing florida and michigan to have a say, so as you can see on the website that is used for settlement she has the lead by 300,000+.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/democratic_vote_count.html
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/democratic_vote_count.html
Suspended Mon 2nd Jun 2008 12:28am PST by
destry![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)
: Flagged by super user: Suspended pending review of settlement links.
Settled as 'Yes' Mon 2nd Jun 2008 12:23pm PST by
ryanj
: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/democratic_vote_count.html
Previous action withdrawn Mon 2nd Jun 2008 6:09pm PST by
ryanj
Suspended Mon 2nd Jun 2008 6:09pm PST by
ryanj
Settled as 'No' Wed 4th Jun 2008 7:32am PST by
ryanj
Suspend date: Tue 10th Jun 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 4th Jun 2008 7:32am PST details
Predictions (92)
Comments (14)
Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
Xinhua News Agency 1 year ago
Democrats Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama battled in the primary in Puerto Rico Sunday, one of the three remaining contests of the Democratic ...
score: 10
Nashville Tennessean 1 year ago
INDIANAPOLIS (AP) _ Barack Obama swept to victory in the North Carolina primary on Tuesday but fell behind Hillary Rodham Clinton in Indiana, the ...
score: 10
South Florida Sun-Sentinel 1 year ago
San Juan, Puerto Rico - Two prominent surrogates of Barack Obama and Hillary Rodham Clinton stumped for the candidates Wednesday in this U.S...
score: 10
Yahoo! News 1 year ago
Hillary Clinton's campaign may be broken. Now some Democrats are asking if she'll also break the party. . The prospect of the race for the...
score: 10
Yahoo! News 1 year ago
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of North Carolina's Presidential Primary finds Barack Obama leading Hillary Clinton 51% to 37% ...

Related Tags








Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/shawn-christensen/dont-be-fooled-obama-is-a_b_96118.html
By comment #2 above clarification, it should have been settled ONLY if the MI popular votes were counted by the DNC... But that issue is up in the air, as it might be that only the delegates are counted. The popular votes WERE NOT counted, as the DNC assigned delegates somewhat arbitrarily and only loosely based on the popular vote. Also, the DNC does not have any official count of the popular vote, so anything that comes out is simply an estimate.
In my view, this should either be voided or left open for tomorrow's results!
http://blog.newsweek.com/blogs/stumper/archive/2008/06/02/clinton-s-popular-vote-claim-close-but-no-cigar.aspx
http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/politicalinsider/2008/06/clintons-popular-vote-claim-st.html
They only counted Michigan delegates at half strength and hubdub is going to count popular vote as full. This goes against comment #2. I wagered based on comment #2.
http://blog.newsweek.com/blogs/stumper/archive/2008/06/02/clinton-s-popular-vote-claim-close-but-no-cigar.aspx
http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/politicalinsider/2008/06/clintons-popular-vote-claim-st.html
They only counted Michigan delegates at half strength and hubdub is going to count popular vote as full. This goes against comment #2. I wagered based on comment #2.
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor
A user writes, "This should not have been settled. They are not assigning the delegates for Michigan based upon popular vote. The DNC did not count the popular vote and assign delegates based upon it. They created an arbitrary ratio. Obama wasn't even on the ballot in Michigan and they gave him delegates. Comment #2 by Ryanj should not have allowed this to be settled."
Ryan says, "After a second more detailed look at it I'll admit I'm baffled ... "
Say it isn't so.
[ It's so.]
Over the last day I got caught up in some other stuff, but I've now resettled so It should all be ok now...
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor
Please log in or join to add a comment