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Will Hillary Clinton win the North Carolina Democratic primary on May 6th?

Settled as No

http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#NC

Background:

North Carolina has the second highest number of delegates up for grabs among the states yet to hold a primary (as of Mar 5 - Pennsylvania has more delegates.) Being late in the primary season with so many delegates could bring lots of visits from the candidates and more pressure on John Edwards to make an endorsement.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
5%
No
95%
Activity: H$175,746
Settled as No on Tue 6th May 10:52pm PDT

Suspend date: Tue 6th May 4:30pm PDT Settlement date: Tue 6th May 10:52pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 6th May 4:30pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 42%

Action history:

Created Wed 5th Mar 11:36am PST by sclossick
Edited Wed 5th Mar 2:16pm PST by ryanj[Admin]
Suspended Tue 6th May 4:30pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Tue 6th May 5:28pm PDT by crowe: NBC and CNN have declared Obama winner of NC Dem primary as of 7:00 p.m. CST 5-6-08.
Settlement requested Tue 6th May 7:02pm PDT by yeagerstew: results are in
Settled as 'No' Tue 6th May 10:52pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#NC

Suspend date: Tue 6th May 4:30pm PDT Settlement date: Tue 6th May 10:52pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 6th May 4:30pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (254)

254 predictions

29 weeks ago
russell predicted No (H$250 at 95%)
29 weeks ago
russell predicted No (H$200 at 95%)
29 weeks ago
yeagerstew predicted No (H$1,000 at 95%)
29 weeks ago
morgie predicted Yes (H$20 at 6%)
29 weeks ago
kennstar predicted Yes (H$20 at 5%)
more

Comments (4)

by May 6th, NC's primary will be purely symbolic.
posted 38 weeks ago
  2 duckie
i dont know, with the talk of campaigns chasing eachothers delegates and the swing in superdelegates especially i think that they are gonna fight this one down to the wire.
posted 37 weeks ago
obama lead in nc shrinks to 9.

http://www.charlotte.com/109/story/567558.html
posted 34 weeks ago
My Pre Primary (Indiana North Carolina) Preview


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ja_CdV6VRrY

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xDLlfxHiNX8
posted 30 weeks ago

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