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Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
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Will Hubdub flame out by end of 2008?

Current forecast: 9% chance 5%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 9% likely to happen (up 5% in last 1 day)

Note to investors: You may want to keep a close eye on this market :-)


Settlement details: A flame out is defined as Hubdub ceasing trading. If this were to happen, my last acts as CEO would be to settle this market as YES, update the leader board and then turn off the lights.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
9%
No
91%
Activity: H$34,020
Question suspends in 4 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 1st Jan 2009 12am PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Tue 15th Jan 7:05pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
Edited Thu 6th Mar 12:49pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]

Suspend date: Thu 1st Jan 2009 12am PST (4 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (43)

43 predictions

7 weeks ago
mfriss predicted No (H$350 at 92%)
8 weeks ago
mork[Power User] predicted No (H$1,000 at 91%)
10 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted No (H$20 at 90%)
20 weeks ago
valornhonor[Power User] predicted No (H$5,000 at 92%)
27 weeks ago
epicur predicted No (H$10,000 at 84%)
more

Comments (7)

  1 thisbee81
A clear case of insider trading - anyone who invests or is intimately involved in the company will know how much capital hubdub has to burn through and how long the burn will take.
posted 45 weeks ago
  2 donal
Call the SEC!
posted 45 weeks ago
  3 jimt
re: flameout: having a bad day are we? <g>
posted 45 weeks ago
If HubDub goes down the pan, will the Government guarantee that all our H$ will be safe?
posted 45 weeks ago
  5 thisbee81
How's the ad revenue coming? Has there been any market research in to how interested the US market is in prediction markets? How is this going to work as a news service? How did you get backing for this thing?
posted 45 weeks ago
What a lot of questions - you sound like you want to invest!
posted 45 weeks ago
No, it will not flame out, as long as Nigel stays away from those darn elevators. <g>
posted 37 weeks ago

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