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Will India's new Tata Nano "the cheapest car ever made" flop before the end of 2009?

Current forecast: 38% chance 1%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 38% likely to happen (up 1% in last 1 day)


Settlement details: Tata Nano is taken off the market before the end of 2009.

Suspension date will be 12/24/09 unless settlement can occur earlier.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
38%
No
62%
Activity: H$13,368
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 2009 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 10th Jan 9:53pm PST by diana
Edited Thu 6th Mar 1:52pm PST by andrew

Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 2009 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (109)

109 predictions

3 weeks ago
nadine_dr_computer predicted No (H$20 at 63%)
6 weeks ago
uppito predicted No (H$20 at 62%)
11 weeks ago
bods predicted No (H$561 at 63%)
12 weeks ago
bods predicted No (H$100 at 63%)
12 weeks ago
bods predicted No (H$100 at 63%)
more

Comments (5)

One of the lasting memories from India is always the vision of entire families crammed on top of a moped.
This car gives those people a chance to travel in a lot more safety for not that much more cost. I can see it being a hit.
posted 46 weeks ago
  2 jarrod
What will be considered a flop? Less than the initial 250,000 cars sold?
posted 38 weeks ago
  3 rohan
"Tata Nano is taken off the market by the end of 2009" says the settlement details...
posted 38 weeks ago
  4 jarrod
Whoops! Helps to pay attention doesn't it?
posted 38 weeks ago
  5 bayoubear[Admin]
Question amended slightly to state 'before' the end of 2009 instead of by, also suspension date reset to 12/24/09 to allow the market to close one week before the settlement date...gotta have at least a little bit of prediction ability here....a month out would probably be better.
posted 11 weeks ago

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