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Will Iran be the next atomic power of the world?

Current forecast: 31% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 31% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
31%
No
69%
Activity: H$6,893
Question suspends in 8 weeks

Suspend date: Sat 31st Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (8 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Thu 31st Jan 9:57pm PST by rizwan

Suspend date: Sat 31st Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (8 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (9)

9 predictions

1 week ago
alexrettie predicted No (H$50 at 69%)
13 weeks ago
monkeyx predicted Yes (H$100 at 30%)
19 weeks ago
framed predicted Yes (H$100 at 30%)
41 weeks ago
klausmitte predicted Yes (H$50 at 37%)
41 weeks ago
pics4d predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 33%)
more

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