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Will Iran say it has nukes by the end of 2008?

Current forecast: 7% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 7% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Have your say.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
7%
No
93%
Activity: H$14,867
Question suspends in 4 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Mon 28th Jan 6:50pm PST by reflect121
Edited Tue 11th Mar 6:20am PDT by ryanj[Admin]

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (18)

18 predictions

13 weeks ago
moonglow predicted No (H$100 at 81%)
13 weeks ago
monkeyx predicted No (H$100 at 80%)
36 weeks ago
halcyon32 predicted Yes (H$50 at 19%)
36 weeks ago
justthefactsmame predicted No (H$100 at 81%)
36 weeks ago
nazrock predicted No (H$50 at 80%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 satyaki
thats a nice way to put it .
posted 34 weeks ago

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