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Will Israel attack Iran by June 30th 11:59 PM (PST)?

Settled as No

No attack. Yet.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
1%
No
99%
Activity: H$67,652
Settled as No on Tue 1st Jul 6:20am PDT

Suspend date: Tue 1st Jul 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 1st Jul 6:20am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 1st Jul 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%

Action history:

Created Tue 29th Jan 10:07pm PST by casey2260
Edited Thu 6th Mar 1:53pm PST by lesley[Admin]
Suspended Tue 1st Jul 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Tue 1st Jul 6:12am PDT by chappy78: Why suspended and not settled? Nothing happened before July 1 and that can't change.
Settled as 'No' Tue 1st Jul 6:20am PDT by lesley[Admin]: No attack. Yet.

Suspend date: Tue 1st Jul 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Tue 1st Jul 6:20am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 1st Jul 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (192)

192 predictions

22 weeks ago
websur predicted No (H$100 at 99%)
22 weeks ago
maynerd predicted No (H$100 at 99%)
22 weeks ago
theonecalledmichael predicted Yes (H$20 at 1%)
22 weeks ago
geoffmey predicted No (H$100 at 96%)
22 weeks ago
kolia39 predicted No (H$100 at 96%)
more

Comments (6)

Define "Summer" Maybe an exact date would be better like 1 May or something
posted 43 weeks ago
  2 ratel
the end date is june 30, so, thats what I'm betting on
posted 43 weeks ago
What is PST? Cant we stick to UTC or somesuch internationally accepted time frame? But this is okay, I doubt it will end up going down to the last couple of hours.
posted 43 weeks ago
  4 lesley[Admin]
I've edited the title of the question to read June 30th rather than 31st.
posted 42 weeks ago
hm, seems unlikely to happen now.
posted 25 weeks ago

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