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Will Jacob Zuma be found guilty on corruption charges?

Current forecast: 53% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 53% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

New ANC leader and de facto President Elect of South Africa has been charged with corruption, money laundering, fraud etc. Will he be found guilty?

http://edition.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/africa/12/28/safrica.zuma.ap/index.html#cnnSTCText


Settlement details: per a reputable news source.

Settlement date will be changed when date of verdict is known. If the charges are dropped, then Market is settled as a NO

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
53%
No
47%
Activity: H$3,681
Question suspends in 38 weeks

Suspend date: Tue 1st Sep 2009 12:59am PDT (38 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Sun 13th Jan 2:44pm PST by donal
Edited Thu 6th Mar 1:37pm PST by lesley[Admin]

Suspend date: Tue 1st Sep 2009 12:59am PDT (38 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (20)

20 predictions

3 weeks ago
void predicted Yes (H$50 at 53%)
12 weeks ago
tomtom predicted Yes (H$50 at 53%)
36 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted No (H$100 at 48%)
37 weeks ago
grantl predicted No (H$20 at 47%)
42 weeks ago
yossarian predicted Yes (H$50 at 53%)
more

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