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Will Jeb Corliss make his attempt at jumping and landing without using his parachute before the end of 2008?

Current forecast: 16% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 16% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Jeb Corliss uses a winged jump suit to travel horizontally as well as vertically when he skydives. He wants to land without the use of a parachute. This has never been done before (at least not intentionally and never done without being killed).
 
% chance over time
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Yes
16%
No
84%
Activity: H$2,250
Question suspends in 18 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (18 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Tue 4th Mar 2:19pm PST by mbasinger4
Edited Wed 2nd Apr 3:47am PDT by tomg[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

20 weeks ago
philm predicted Yes (H$50 at 16%)
20 weeks ago
dai_hard predicted Yes (H$100 at 15%)
20 weeks ago
jenna predicted No (H$100 at 85%)
23 weeks ago
shadowfax predicted Yes (H$400 at 12%)
24 weeks ago
mbasinger4 predicted No (H$50 at 89%)
more

Comments

  1 shadowfax
great market here! this is what makes hd infotaining. I've been telling folks about this man of Steel and his Rocky the Squirrel suit.
posted 23 weeks ago

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