Created Fri 11th Apr 8:46pm PDT by dan_the_omniscient

All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » 

Will John Bolton assume the Office of the President of the United States on Inauguration Day, 2009?

Inaccurate starting odds

Background:

Settlement details: As reported by newsmax.com or foxnews.com.

All time/date references considered local time.

"assume" - tr.v.
2. To undertake the duties of (an office)
7. To take over without justification; seize

All other words pursuant to their definitions at tfd.com, not their literal usage by journalists.

Will John Bolton assume the Office of the President of the United States on Inauguration Day, 2009?

    Yes

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Forecast history, %

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Voided

	Yes	5%
	No	95%

Voided Sat 12th Apr 3:49am PDT

Suspend date: Sat 20th Dec 9am PST (2 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 5%

Action history:

Created Fri 11th Apr 8:46pm PDT by dan_the_omniscient

Voided Sat 12th Apr 3:49am PDT by ryanj: Inaccurate starting odds

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Suspend date: Sat 20th Dec 9am PST (2 weeks to go)
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Predictions (1)

1 prediction

33 weeks ago

epicur predicted No (H$10 at 95%)

Comments (7)

  1 mrpredictypants

?

posted 33 weeks ago

  2 randburg

The starting odds here are WAY TOO HIGH. It can't possibly be over 1% YES, and the author has given us no reason or background to even go along with the 1% idea.

posted 33 weeks ago

  3 randburg

At least he has 36 weeks to organize the cavalry and come riding in...he might need all the time he can get...

posted 33 weeks ago

  4 destry

Seriously why would a person create this market. Has there been news I haven't seen that this is a possibility?

posted 33 weeks ago

  5 dan_the_omniscient

honestly, it has to due with my man-crush on john bolton.

since i can no longer vote libertarian in good conscience (this includes ron paul), and since im not st00pid enough to buy what either candidate from the two party circus is selling, i intend on writing-in john bolton.

im also pretending like he did not endorse mccain already since i think very ill of mccain the politician.

posted 33 weeks ago

  6 cognos

Bolton has no legal grounds for at attempt.

posted 33 weeks ago

  7 dan_the_omniscient

has the deadline passed to file an intent of being a write-in candidate?

even if they have, note the very deliberate wording of my question. it makes no claim of how (legal or otherwise) he would do it. it only addresses if he "assumes" (definition provided in the settlement details) the office.

posted 33 weeks ago

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