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Will John McCain or Vicki Iseman admit that they had a romantic relationship by March 30?

Settled as No

They have not admitted a relationship

Background:

The NY Times reported that McCain staffers thought McCain might have had a romantic relationship with Iseman. McCain has denied the report.


Settlement details: As reported by CNN or MSNBC.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
1%
No
99%
Activity: H$34,516
Settled as No on Mon 31st Mar 8:55am PDT

Suspend date: Sun 30th Mar 1am PDT Settlement date: Mon 31st Mar 8:55am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 30th Mar 1am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Thu 21st Feb 2:25pm PST by historyteacher
Edited Thu 21st Feb 5:45pm PST by ryanj[Admin]
Suspended Sun 30th Mar 1am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Mon 31st Mar 8:55am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: They have not admitted a relationship

Suspend date: Sun 30th Mar 1am PDT Settlement date: Mon 31st Mar 8:55am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 30th Mar 1am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (31)

31 predictions

35 weeks ago
comfortablynumb predicted No (H$615 at 99%)
35 weeks ago
corazon predicted No (H$50 at 98%)
35 weeks ago
myunion predicted No (H$20 at 98%)
35 weeks ago
mistert predicted Yes (H$20 at 2%)
35 weeks ago
galahaut predicted No (H$100 at 98%)
more

Comments (4)

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/21/us/politics/21mccain.html?em&ex=1203742800&en=dd85a1bc28fc6d8b&ei=5087%0A

This story is highly speculative, and is FAR from accusation.
posted 40 weeks ago
The story has been months in the making, written by 4 reporters, published in the most respected newspaper in America, a paper that endorsed McCain, and has multiple sources.
posted 40 weeks ago
  3 jakob
I think the latest Harry Potter had been months in the making as well ;-)

One of the most important points of criticism was that the NYT did not really name any of its sources.

And the end of the story is that it's not that much respected anymore. Reading that kind of speculation really upset me as well, even though I wouldn't vote for the Republicans...
posted 39 weeks ago
  4 ekatz
Considering they almost certainly DIDN'T, it would be rather counterproductive to "admit" to doing so.
Perhaps we should be asking if the New York Times will admit to trying to influence poll numbers by deliberately reporting lies.
Any thermodynamic data about when Hell is likely to freeze over?
posted 36 weeks ago

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