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Will Lilgert and Bricker having sex be found to be the cause of "The Queen of the North" sinking?

Current forecast: 49% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 49% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Two people died and the transportation board's inquiry did not investigate the matter. there is now a class action suit and they are center stage. Class Action Suit against the couple set for Feb 2nd 2009.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
49%
No
51%
Activity: H$13,600
Question suspends in 8 weeks

Suspend date: Sun 1st Feb 2009 7:59am PST (8 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Thu 13th Mar 5:52pm PDT by meanderingsearcher
Edited Fri 14th Mar 7:38am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Clarified Fri 14th Mar 7:39am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Edited market to make question clearer: "Have a feeling that the market is asking if whether because the ex-couple was having sex is the reason behind the ferry crash? If no please correct me and I'll reedit. For now I'll just tidy up the market so it makes more sense."
Edited Fri 14th Mar 7:39am PDT by ryanj[Admin]

Suspend date: Sun 1st Feb 2009 7:59am PST (8 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (22)

22 predictions

21 weeks ago
hookem08 predicted No (H$370 at 50%)
27 weeks ago
mork[Power User] predicted No (H$300 at 47%)
28 weeks ago
bcguelph predicted Yes (H$50 at 32%)
29 weeks ago
hookem08 predicted No (H$20 at 47%)
29 weeks ago
rooooo predicted No (H$50 at 46%)
more

Comments (7)

  1 ryanj[Admin]
Have a feeling that the market is asking if whether because the ex-couple was having sex is the reason behind the ferry crash? If no please correct me and I'll reedit. For now I'll just tidy up the market so it makes more sense.

Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
posted 37 weeks ago
neither one would talk at the inquiry the lawyer for the class action suit is sure that is what caused the accident
posted 37 weeks ago
thank you for edit it makes more sense
posted 37 weeks ago
  4 randburg
This question suspends on June 1st. Does it also settle at that time?
posted 27 weeks ago
  5 lesley[Admin]
I think it should stay open until the date of the class action suit - anyone have any news on when that might be?

Lesley
Hubdub Category Manager
posted 27 weeks ago
  6 lesley[Admin]
Found it:

http://www.westcoaster.ca/modules/AMS/article.php?storyid=3875

"The class-action suit, set for Feb. 2, 2009 in Vancouver, is against BC Ferries, Lilgert, Bricker and Capt. Colin Henthorne, on behalf of the 49 surviving passengers"

I'll amend the suspend date until then.

Lesley
posted 27 weeks ago
  7 mork[Power User]
Is the picture of Lilgert, or Bricker?
Sex at the helm of a boat....
Sounds like could be rock star syndrome.
posted 27 weeks ago

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