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Will London be buried under sea in the next ten years due to global warming?

Background:

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
2%
No
98%
Question suspends in 8 years

Suspend date: Mon 1st Jan 2018 11:59pm PST (8 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 15%

Action history:

Created Wed 30th Jan 2008 4:49am PST by replica
Edited Thu 6th Mar 2008 12:51pm PST by chris[Admin]
Changed Question text Thu 1st Jan 5:47pm PST by tisha[Admin]: ... Will londonLondon be buried under sea in

Suspend date: Mon 1st Jan 2018 11:59pm PST (8 years to go) details

 

Predictions (78)

11 weeks ago
melio predicted Yes (H$20 at 2%)
11 weeks ago
om46nu5 predicted Yes (H$100 at 1%)
13 weeks ago
blingbearer predicted Yes (H$2 at 1%)
26 weeks ago
rogerkni predicted No (H$50 at 95%)
27 weeks ago
grayuk predicted No (H$100 at 95%)

Comments (11)

  1 shadowfax
if London is buried under the sea by 2018, HD and alot more will not be around to settle this.
lets stick to fun informative q/wagers! c'mon folks lets cause some hubub about HD by going here www.hubdubforum.com
posted 1 year ago
Please post

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/7195752.stm

a recent bbc article on sea level rise and its potential effects on several low-elevation communities including London.

Thank you for pointing out the likelihood of imminent diasters to coastal areas and helping educate the general public about this.
posted 1 year ago
In response to shadowfax, I suspect that hubdub and others will have at least a month's warning if half of Greenland suddenly melts. Several hundred square miles have already been lost. It is probably only a question of time.
posted 1 year ago
  4 shadowfax
I concur that this Q actually is informative and educational. Thanks for correcting me on my newbie reaction to this venue. I also appreciate the link post.
posted 1 year ago
People really need to give up on this global warming crap. If anything, we should be preparing for the next ice age.
posted 26 weeks ago
Although I view the probability of this event to be significantly less than 1% I'd never wager given the conditions. I've read too
many GW articles based on little more than hysteria in "major mainstream new stories".

I believe that actual global temperature are likely to drop over the next eight years as they have over the last ten. But even
that is a dicey wager when AGW advocates control the ground-based temperature records and make "adjustments" that support their theories.
posted 21 weeks ago
Climate Revolt: World's Largest Science Group 'Startled' By Outpouring of Scientists Rejecting Man-Made Climate Fears
http://www.climatedepot.com/a/2213/Climate-Revolt-Worlds-Largest-Science-Group-Startled-By-Outpouring-of-Scientists-Rejecting-ManMade-Climate-Fears-Clamor-for-Editor-to-Be-Removed

...
On May 1 2009, the American Physical Society (APS) Council decided to review its current climate statement via a high-level subcommittee of respected senior scientists. The decision was prompted after a group of 54 prominent physicists petitioned the APS revise its global warming position. The 54 physicists wrote to APS governing board: “Measured or reconstructed temperature records indicate that 20th - 21st century changes are neither exceptional nor persistent, and the historical and geological records show many periods warmer than today.”

The petition signed by the prominent physicists, led by Princeton University's Dr. Will Happer, who has conducted 200 peer-reviewed scientific studies. The peer-reviewed journal Nature published a July 22, 2009 letter by the physicists persuading the APS to review its statement. In 2008, an American Physical Society editor conceded that a “considerable presence” of scientific skeptics exists.
...
[Much more at the link...]
posted 16 weeks ago
About half of U.S. mortgages seen underwater by 2011
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20090805/bs_nm/us_usa_housing_deutschebank

...

Homeowners with the riskiest mortgages taken out during the housing boom have seen the greatest erosion in equity, in part because they were "affordability products" originated at the housing peak, Deutsche said. They include subprime loans, of which 69 percent will be underwater in 2011, up from 50 percent in March, Deutsche said,

Of option adjustable-rate mortgages -- which cut payments by allowing principal balances to rise -- 89 percent will be underwater in 2011, up from 77 percent, the report said.

Regions suffering the worst negative equity are areas in California, Florida, Arizona, Nevada, Ohio, Michigan, Illinois, Wisconsin, Massachusetts and West Virginia. Las Vegas and parts of Florida and California will see 90 percent or more of their loans underwater by 2011, it added.

"For many, the home has morphed from piggy bank to albatross," the analysts said.
posted 15 weeks ago
  9 sqlman[Admin]
"Warming Arctic should be cooling, study finds"

"WASHINGTON - The Arctic is warmer than it's been in 2,000 years, according to a new study, even though it should be cooling because of changes in the Earth's orbit that cause the region to get less direct sunlight. The most recent 10-year interval, 1999-2008, was the warmest of the last 2,000 years in the Arctic, according to the researchers led by Darrell Kaufman, a professor of geology and environmental science at Northern Arizona University." MORE: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/32675876/ns/us_news-environment/
posted 11 weeks ago
PM warns of climate 'catastrophe'
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/8313672.stm
The UK faces a "catastrophe" of floods, droughts and killer heatwaves if world leaders fail to agree a deal on climate change, the prime minister has warned.

Gordon Brown said negotiators had 50 days to save the world from global warming and break the "impasse".

He told the Major Economies Forum in London, which brings together 17 of the world's biggest greenhouse gas-emitting countries, there was "no plan B".

World delegations meet in Copenhagen in December for talks on a new treaty.
[More at the link...]
posted 4 weeks ago
  11 sqlman[Admin]
@diego_de_vega:

"I've read too many GW articles based on little more than hysteria in 'major mainstream new stories'." Yes, those exist. So stop reading them. Instead, read real scientific articles in real scientific magazines (and by "real scientific magazines", I'm not referring to ExxonMobil's annual report).

"I believe that actual global temperature are likely to drop over the next eight years as they have over the last ten." Well, they haven't dropped, but let's go on your supposition that they have: what makes you believe this?

"...AGW advocates control the ground-based temperature records and make 'adjustments' that support their theories." Yes, you're right: the majority of the world's scientists--that is, those not working for Big Energy--have all collaborated on perpetrating this massive hoax. :-) Were I you, I would definitely disbelieve them. Instead, rely on the increasingly desperate lies of those dipping from that steady stream of cash flowing from ExxonMobil; they certainly have no agenda.
posted 4 weeks ago

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