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My Predictions

Will MLB Commissioner Bud Selig step down or be fired in 2008?

Current forecast: 12% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 12% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
12%
No
88%
Activity: H$21,322
Question suspends in 11 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: per MLB.com. Settled in event of Selig stepping down or being fired and it being reported by a reputable source.

Suspend date: Thu 1st Jan 2009 12am PST (11 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Wed 16th Jan 12:10am PST by donal[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: per MLB.com. Settled in event of Selig stepping down or being fired and it being reported by a reputable source.... read all

 

Predictions (27)

27 predictions

2 weeks ago
spurt34 predicted No (H$5 at 88%)
16 weeks ago
cognos[Power User] predicted Yes (H$100 at 11%)
28 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted Yes (H$20 at 11%)
29 weeks ago
pics4d predicted Yes (H$500 at 13%)
30 weeks ago
newsdigger predicted No (H$20 at 67%)
more

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