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Will Marine Cpl. Cesar Laurean be extradited or deported from Mexico

Current forecast: Extradition (65% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Extradition with a probability of 65% (unchanged in last 1 day)

Sometimes Mexico will forego the traditional extradition and deport a suspected criminal for entering the country illegally.
Will he be extradited or deported?
 
Forecast history, %
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Extradition
65%
Deported
35%
Activity: H$8,012
Open question (no suspend date)
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: None

Initial likelihoods: Extradition: 60%, Deported: 40%

Action history:

Created Thu 10th Apr 10:28pm PDT by vankev63
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (31)

31 predictions

1 week ago
newswrangler[Power User] predicted Extradition (H$20 at 65%)
16 weeks ago
owl1 predicted Extradition (H$370 at 73%)
17 weeks ago
vankev63 predicted Deported (H$20 at 27%)
18 weeks ago
sixthdementia predicted Extradition (H$100 at 73%)
19 weeks ago
kida predicted Extradition (H$100 at 77%)
more

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