Created Fri 11th Jan 2:44pm PST by 
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Will Mark Zuckerberg still be CEO of Facebook by end of 2008?
Current forecast: 89% chance 
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 89% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
Facebook’s 23 year old CTO, Adam D’Angelo, is leaving the company to “take time off” reports Kara Swisher of All Things D (http://tinyurl.com/45ojaa). Most of the other top execs at Facebook are of the class of circa-2004 with ex-Googlers Gideon Yo as CFO and Sheryl Sandberg as COO.
The question remains as to whether this strengthens Zuckerberg’s control on the company or weakens it? Currently, Hubdub is forecasting he has a 83% chance of still being CEO of Facebook at the end of this year. That chance dipped at the end of February when rumors emerged of Facebook wanting to make management changes but it quite quickly recovered to its current level.
If Facebook want to IPO in 2009 then they will want to get these management changes through as early this year as possible. Would they seriously want to IPO with Zuckerberg at the helm? [Nigel Eccles, 5/12/2008]
The question remains as to whether this strengthens Zuckerberg’s control on the company or weakens it? Currently, Hubdub is forecasting he has a 83% chance of still being CEO of Facebook at the end of this year. That chance dipped at the end of February when rumors emerged of Facebook wanting to make management changes but it quite quickly recovered to its current level.
If Facebook want to IPO in 2009 then they will want to get these management changes through as early this year as possible. Would they seriously want to IPO with Zuckerberg at the helm? [Nigel Eccles, 5/12/2008]
Settlement details:
Settled as yes if Zuckerberg is still formally in position on December 31st of 2008. Settlement sources will be company press releases and respected business press.
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Activity: H$30,110
Question suspends in 4 weeks
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 90%
Action history:
Created Fri 11th Jan 2:44pm PST by nigeleccles
nigeleccles
Edited Thu 6th Mar 1:01pm PST by nigeleccles
nigeleccles
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (90)
90 predictions
evanp
kailey1
warrickt
cognos![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted Yes (H$4,000 at 86%)
88michael
monkissComments (3)
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score: 10
CNET.co.uk 1 week ago
Facebook, the most hyped company to come out of the Bay Area in the past five years. (Sorry, Digg. You're third.) The two also have a moderate connection: early Twitter investor Marc Andreessen sits on Facebook's board. Then again, that kind of
score: 10
Zdnet 1 week ago
Talks between Facebook and Twitter have broken down, Kara Swisher reports in a post on the Boomtown blog today, and - on the surface - it looks like the dividing issue was money
score: 10
Zdnet 1 week ago
Talks between Facebook and Twitter have broken down, Kara Swisher reports in a post on the Boomtown blog today, and - on the surface - it looks like the dividing issue was money
score: 10
The Times 1 week ago
on yet another eyebrow-raising tech merger that has failed to come to pass. Rumours that Twitter and Facebook would do a deal have been around for a while, but Kara Swisher has the details. The big reason why it fell apart? Money, of course: So why did
score: 10
CNET News.com 1 week ago
Maybe it wasn't just egregious Valley gossip-baiting when Federated Media CEO John Battelle asked Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg earlier this month . early Monday morning that actual acquisition talks held between the two companies have fallen through.
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nigeleccles
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New COO and no word of a CEO change. I think he is safe for another 12 months.
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