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Will Meat be produced in a Lab this year?

Current forecast: 13% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 13% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Animal-welfare group PETA has offered a US$1-million bounty to the first scientist who can produce marketable lab-grown meat.

An outcome of 'yes' will develop if anyone is awarded the bounty.
 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
13%
No
87%
Activity: H$4,698
Question suspends in 16 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Tue 30th Dec 11:59pm PST (16 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 9%

Action history:

Created Wed 30th Apr 1:13pm PDT by mork[Power User]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (38)

38 predictions

3 weeks ago
chett predicted No (H$20 at 84%)
3 weeks ago
pepe predicted No (H$50 at 84%)
3 weeks ago
pepe predicted No (H$50 at 84%)
8 weeks ago
avocado predicted Yes (H$20 at 16%)
9 weeks ago
mjackson33 predicted Yes (H$100 at 16%)
more

Comments (3)

  1 shadowfax
thnx mork for creating this question.
I read about this and thought about a market here, but could not figure out how to construct.
you certainly have made a decent question. kudos and all the baggage that goes with it.
posted 18 weeks ago
  2 skipper[Power User]
*raises beef tartar*
Here's to hoping!
posted 17 weeks ago
LMAO- "meat" is what they object to most! next we'll have some wack job anti-test tube-meat lobby, trying to save the faceless meat from being consumed...or PETA will object because a few lines of meat-stem cells are destroyed in the process.... no, the answer lies in bigger changes than "lab-meat".... but i like the question!
posted 17 weeks ago

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