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Will Michael Jackson's doctor be charged?

Background: Now we know how Michael died and Dr Conrad Murray's actions in those last hours. The LAPD is putting together their case against him, but it remains to be seen if they can put something solid enough together to level charges.

This is a follow on question to a previous iteration which settled too early to tell what will truly happen in the case.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Settlement date: September 1st 2010 to allow time for due diligence. The market may settle early if the LAPD makes a formal announcement that they are dropping the investigation. Although there appear to be other doctors in Michael's life, this market refers only to Dr. Conrad Murray

 
Forecast history %
Yes
42%
No
58%
Question suspends in 38 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 19th Aug 2010 11:59pm PST (38 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 80%

Action history:

Created Tue 1st Sep 4:08pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]

Suspend date: Thu 19th Aug 2010 11:59pm PST (38 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (88)

2 weeks ago
flamingo predicted Yes (H$100 at 38%)
2 weeks ago
breadhead predicted No (H$300 at 62%)
2 weeks ago
breadhead predicted No (H$300 at 62%)
3 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 37%)
3 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Yes (H$500 at 35%)

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