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Will Michael Jackson's doctor be charged?

Settled as Yes

Background: Now we know how Michael died and Dr Conrad Murray's actions in those last hours. The LAPD is putting together their case against him, but it remains to be seen if they can put something solid enough together to level charges.

This is a follow on question to a previous iteration which settled too early to tell what will truly happen in the case.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Settlement date: September 1st 2010 to allow time for due diligence. The market may settle early if the LAPD makes a formal announcement that they are dropping the investigation. Although there appear to be other doctors in Michael's life, this market refers only to Dr. Conrad Murray

 
Forecast history %
Yes
98%
No
2%
Settled as Yes on Tue 16th Feb 7:26pm PST

Suspend date: Thu 19th Aug 11:59pm PST (21 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Tue 16th Feb 7:26pm PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 80%

Action history:

Created Tue 1st Sep 2009 4:08pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]
Settlement requested Fri 12th Feb 6:08pm PST by cheesenips: Please settle as Yes. Dr. Conrad Murray was charged with involuntary manslaughter on February 8th http://www.newschief.com/article/20100208/NEWS/100209961
Suspended Fri 12th Feb 7:59pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]
Settled as 'Yes' Tue 16th Feb 7:26pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]

Suspend date: Thu 19th Aug 11:59pm PST (21 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Tue 16th Feb 7:26pm PST details

 

Predictions (107)

6 weeks ago
freddiefeelgood predicted No (H$50 at 2%)
6 weeks ago
dondilion predicted Yes (H$100 at 98%)
6 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Yes (H$10,000 at 97%)
6 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Yes (H$10,000 at 96%)
6 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Yes (H$5,000 at 94%)

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