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Will Michael Vick be found guilty on state dogfighting charges?

Current forecast: 61% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 61% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

NFL player Michael Vick was found guilty on federal charges related to dogfighting. His state trial starts on June 27. http://nbcsports.msnbc.com/id/23631107/
 
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Yes
61%
No
39%
Activity: H$16,195
Question suspends in 44 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Mon 20th Jul 2009 12:59am PDT (44 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%

Action history:

Created Sun 6th Apr 10:43am PDT by onedave
Suspended Sat 28th Jun 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Suspended Sat 28th Jun 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Unsuspended Sat 28th Jun 5:18am PDT by hopkirk[Admin]
Unsuspended Sat 28th Jun 6:05am PDT by hopkirk[Admin]
Settlement requested Thu 17th Jul 8:56am PDT by onedave: Request suspension date be changed to July 20, 2009. This is the earliest the trial could start. http://www.inrich.com/cva/ric/news.apx.-content-articles-RTD-2008-06-25-0137.html
Suspended Thu 31st Jul 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Jul 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Unsuspended Thu 31st Jul 9:42am PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: It appears that the trial will not start until after Vick's release, which shouldn't be until July 20th. Will unsuspend and change settlement date.

http://www.inrich.com/cva/ric/news.apx.-content-articles-RTD-2008-06-25-0137.html
Unsuspended Thu 31st Jul 9:46am PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (55)

55 predictions

4 weeks ago
harishadzimuratovic predicted Yes (H$100 at 61%)
5 weeks ago
jimmsolo predicted Yes (H$50 at 61%)
5 weeks ago
jimmsolo predicted Yes (H$20 at 62%)
5 weeks ago
greengenie predicted Yes (H$50 at 62%)
5 weeks ago
thegodfather predicted Yes (H$500 at 61%)
more

Comments (4)

This market has been reopened

"The trial for the suspended Atlanta Falcons quarterback had been scheduled to start this Friday. But at Poindexter's request, a judge postponed the trials of Vick and other defendants until the men are released from federal prisons where they are serving time for dogfighting conspiracy charges.

"He said Surry's cases could resume quickly once Vick gets out of the minimum-security federal prison facility in Leavenworth, Kan. With good behavior Vick could be out July 20, 2009, Poindexter said."

<http://www.inrich.com/cva/ric/news.apx.-content-articles-RTD-2008-06-25-0137.html>
posted 10 weeks ago
wow, why put off he trial another year? Doesn't make any sense to me...
posted 10 weeks ago
heh - from what I read it was all about money. The state wanted to save the cost of transportation.
posted 10 weeks ago
This market has been reopened

"It appears that the trial will not start until after Vick's release, which shouldn't be until July 20th [2009]. Will unsuspend and change settlement date."
posted 5 weeks ago

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