Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
My Predictions

Will Microsoft have to pay the 899 million Euro fine towards the EU-commission to its full height?

Current forecast: only a part of it: they are going to negociate a deal (36% chance3%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is only a part of it: they are going to negociate a deal with a probability of 36% (down 3% in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Make your prediction!

Yes, there's no way around it
35%
No, the ruling is going to be overturned
30%
only a part of it: they are going to negociate a deal
36%
Activity: H$1,175
Open question (no suspend date)

Suspend date: None

Initial likelihoods: Yes, there's no way around it: 34%, No, the ruling is going to be overturned: 33%, only a part of it: they are going to negociate a deal: 33%

Action history:

Created Wed 27th Feb 8:28am PST by exilpat
Settlement requested Tue 18th Mar 8:36am PDT by newswrangler[Power User]:
I think enough information is in to try to settle this:

See: <http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/28/technology/28soft.html?_r=1&th&emc=th&oref=slogin>

The "closest option seems to be" "only a part of it: they are going to negociate a deal" ... except it's not clear that Microsoft "negotiated" a deal, rather this is what the EU Commission came up with.

"Ms. Kroes said the fine was calculated based on the fact that Microsoft was in breach of the commission’s order for 488 days. It represented 60 percent of the maximum $2.25 billion that the commission could have imposed, she said. (The dollar amount of the fines, which were levied in euros, have been converted using the exchange rates that then prevailed.) The commission had already fined Microsoft more than $600 million at the time of the 2004 ruling, and more than $350 million in July 2006 for failing to comply with a requirement that it license network communications technology."

There are other open questions on Microsoft and the EU -- and I think this news applies to THIS question ... but it ought be double-checked ;-)

Suspend date: None
more info...

 

Predictions (9)

9 predictions

31 weeks ago
jayburkey predicted only a part of it: they are going to negociate a deal (H$100 at 38%)
36 weeks ago
dxmitche predicted Yes, there's no way around it (H$100 at 33%)
39 weeks ago
exilpat predicted only a part of it: they are going to negociate a deal (H$50 at 37%)
39 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted Yes, there's no way around it (H$100 at 33%)
39 weeks ago
esievers predicted only a part of it: they are going to negociate a deal (H$50 at 34%)
more

Comments (1)

Anyone know if Microsoft paid any or all of the two earlier fines of 777.5 million Euro?
posted 39 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more