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Will Microsoft's aquisition of Danger lead to a Microsoft-branded iPhone competitor by Feb. 2009?

Current forecast: 48% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 48% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
48%
No
52%
Activity: H$1,358
Question suspends in 8 weeks

Suspend date: Sun 1st Feb 2009 11:59pm PST (8 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Tue 12th Feb 11:24am PST by jarrod

Suspend date: Sun 1st Feb 2009 11:59pm PST (8 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (16)

16 predictions

8 weeks ago
someone_162 predicted No (H$50 at 52%)
8 weeks ago
jweinstein predicted No (H$100 at 52%)
10 weeks ago
jepelde predicted No (H$100 at 51%)
25 weeks ago
kurtland predicted No (H$100 at 51%)
29 weeks ago
whistler predicted No (H$50 at 50%)
more

Comments (3)

  1 harveyb
Microsoft already has co-branded competitors to the iphone in Windows Mobile devices. Does the settlement require that the "yes" triggering Microsoft product be branded by Microsoft only and without branding from the hardware supplier?
posted 32 weeks ago
Harveyb,

You mean like the Zune? ... I'd assume so as it states "Microsoft-branded" but this does leave a little to the imagination so your question is good, but I didn't make the Q, so I dunno, but a very good question Harveyb :-)
As for myself, I hate Microsoft with a passion, so I hope they make 500 more crummy music players, after all, they lose money on every Zune, so the more they make the merrier I'll be :-P

lucidstates (iPod owner)
posted 32 weeks ago
  3 jarrod
Yes, Microsoft brand only, not a co-branded palm or nokia or whatever device with Windows Mobile running on it.
posted 20 weeks ago

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