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Created Sun 3rd Feb 12:22pm PST by tertius
All questions » Politics » 

Will Mike Huckabee still be in the race on Saturday, Feb. 9, 2008?

Settled as Yes

They say its a two-man race in the Republican primaries... is it?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

SETTLEMENT NOTES:
As of the start of Feb. 9 Huckabee is still a GOP hopeful.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 Yes
97%
No
3%
Activity: H$89,662
Settled as Yes on Sat 9th Feb 4:01am PST

Suspend date: Fri 8th Feb 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Sat 9th Feb 4:01am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 8th Feb 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 65%

Action history:

Created Sun 3rd Feb 12:22pm PST by tertius
Settled Sat 9th Feb 4:01am PST

Suspend date: Fri 8th Feb 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Sat 9th Feb 4:01am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 8th Feb 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (435)

435 predictions

42 weeks ago
theresa03201 predicted Yes (H$100 at 94%)
42 weeks ago
Erik predicted Yes (H$100 at 94%)
42 weeks ago
chukhatrok predicted Yes (H$100 at 93%)
42 weeks ago
huskerfan predicted No (H$100 at 6%)
42 weeks ago
mentalman predicted Yes (H$100 at 94%)
more

Comments (11)

  1 ryanj[Admin]
Good question, although I can't vote in this, I think that he will drop-out only if McCain offers him the VP job. McCain needs the Evangelical vote to win the election and Huckabee can hand him it.
posted 43 weeks ago
  2 scott
After super tuesday there is no reason for Huckabee to stay in. In fact I would expect him to drop out tues night or wedesday.
posted 43 weeks ago
  3 homeboy_chillin
oh really? howd that work out for you?
posted 42 weeks ago
  4 dunecoon
This question is too broad. It doesn’t specify if Mike Huckabee will still be in the race as a presidential candidate or a Vice presidential nominee. What if he drops out as a presidential candidate and then gets nominated as Vice president. Technically he would have dropped out then re joined. The question doesn’t specify what race specifically.
posted 42 weeks ago
  5 tertius
I intended it to mean as a Presidential nominee.
Also, Romney just dropped out.
posted 42 weeks ago
  6 historyteacher
I think it is clear that the question refers to Presidential candidate. You don't formally select your vice presidential candidate until the convention so the Feb 9 date makes it clear that it refers to the presidential race
posted 42 weeks ago
  7 beijingbarbarian
i bet he will quit in his speech saturday...
posted 42 weeks ago
  8 steph
If he quits on Saturday, does that make this question a "Yes" (counting the time that day before he quit) or "No"??
posted 42 weeks ago
  9 tertius
If he quits on Saturday, he will still have been in the race on Saturday. "Yes" would win.
posted 42 weeks ago
  10 horatiomonty
Hm, doesn't look to good for me now:
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/
posted 42 weeks ago
  11 steph
Whoa.

"Gov Huckabee is still in this race, and he is a viable candidate and I'm sure will continue to show strength and that's why we're moving forward with our campaigning," McCain said.
posted 42 weeks ago

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