Created Thu 14th Feb 3:45pm PST by navkumar

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Will Mitt Romney back John McCain?

It was leaked to most of the major news sources about an hour before the news conference. This market was then put up with a 30% chance of not happening (very inaccurate), and 15 minutes before the event. Due to this I'm going to void.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Will Mitt Romney back John McCain?

    Yes

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Forecast history, %

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Voided

	Yes	70%
	No	30%

Voided Fri 15th Feb 3:19am PST

Suspend date: Fri 22nd Feb 11:59pm PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 70%

Action history:

Created Thu 14th Feb 3:45pm PST by navkumar

Settlement requested Thu 14th Feb 5:36pm PST by smidge76: This is event already happened.
http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/02/14/romney.mccain/index.html

Settlement requested Thu 14th Feb 6:55pm PST by anaverageamerican: This should have been settled much earlier in the day. Once again I have no position on this prediction, but I'm surprised it has not been settled already.

http://www.foxnews.com/s

Settlement requested Thu 14th Feb 7:25pm PST by historyteacher: This question was posted after it was announced that Romney was going to endorse McCain. Void the question.

Voided Fri 15th Feb 3:19am PST by ryanj: It was leaked to most of the major news sources about an hour before the news conference. This market was then put up with a 30% chance of not happening (very inaccurate), and 15 minutes before the event. Due to this I'm going to void.

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Suspend date: Fri 22nd Feb 11:59pm PST
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Predictions (31)

31 predictions

41 weeks ago

theonecalledmichael predicted Yes (H$100 at 86%)

41 weeks ago

vincennes predicted Yes (H$100 at 86%)

41 weeks ago

bitz predicted Yes (H$100 at 86%)

41 weeks ago

gwandja predicted Yes (H$100 at 86%)

41 weeks ago

veilibi predicted Yes (H$100 at 85%)

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41 weeks ago

theonecalledmichael predicted Yes (H$100 at 86%)

41 weeks ago

vincennes predicted Yes (H$100 at 86%)

41 weeks ago

bitz predicted Yes (H$100 at 86%)

41 weeks ago

gwandja predicted Yes (H$100 at 86%)

41 weeks ago

veilibi predicted Yes (H$100 at 85%)

41 weeks ago

galahaut predicted Yes (H$20 at 83%)

41 weeks ago

jbolli predicted Yes (H$100 at 74%)

41 weeks ago

jbolli predicted Yes (H$100 at 74%)

41 weeks ago

jbolli predicted Yes (H$100 at 74%)

41 weeks ago

jbolli predicted Yes (H$100 at 73%)

41 weeks ago

jbolli predicted Yes (H$100 at 73%)

41 weeks ago

jbolli predicted Yes (H$100 at 73%)

Showing recent public predictions only

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Comments (5)

  1 smidge76

He endorsed McCain at an event held just 15 minutes after this question was posted(the event occurred at 4 p.m ET). Four hours before the question was written, it was announced on CNN that the endorsement was going to place. I think this question should be voided.

posted 41 weeks ago

  2 smidge76

oops...I meant 4 pm Pacific time...the event occurred at 7 p.m. ET. I was correct about the 15 minutes though. That is not enough time to allow wagers, and I don't think there was much question of the outcome anyway...not enough to justify a 30% possibility of a negative outcome anyway.

posted 41 weeks ago

  3 blair21088

should be voided

posted 41 weeks ago

  4 ryanj

It was leaked to most of the major news sources about an hour before the news conference. This market was then put up with a 30% chance of not happening, and 15 minutes before the event. Due to this I'm going to void.

Ryan
Hubdub U.S. Politics Content Editor

posted 41 weeks ago

  5 horatiomonty

No objections, your honor...

posted 41 weeks ago

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