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Will Mrs Thatcher still be alive at the end of 2008?

Current forecast: 95% chance 1%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 95% likely to happen (up 1% in last 1 day)

The 82 year old ex prime minister has suffered strokes in the past and has recently been in hospital for "tests". http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/7284697.stm


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
95%
No
5%
Activity: H$45,829
Question suspends in 4 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Sat 8th Mar 3:11am PST by lesley[Admin]

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (95)

95 predictions

18 hours ago
rbrog77 predicted Yes (H$2,500 at 94%)
1 week ago
el_nombre predicted No (H$20 at 6%)
1 week ago
anifersgirl predicted Yes (H$100 at 95%)
1 week ago
thomasianmangnall predicted No (H$5 at 5%)
1 week ago
keyeshoveden predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 94%)
more

Comments (12)

  1 donal
A death poll by stealth......Oh how immoral!!!!......I am surprised the anti death poll brigade haven't picked up on this yet.

Get well soon Mrs T.
posted 38 weeks ago
we've ARRIVED!!! And the fat lady is siiiinnngggiiinnng!!!
Come on guys? No more joking about the brigade. ok. :) I think we've made our collective point.
So, bottom line, HUBDUB has 'factions'. That's better than "no factions". HUBDUB appeals to the left, the right, and everyone in between. A fasinating mirror image of the societies it serves.

I really like that, hmmm, anti-death pool brigrade. sounds like a platform for some upandcoming presidential candidate. Barack could get a 5-pt bounce if he picks up on that one. :)

Hillary wouldn't touch it. She'll let the Generals decide. :)

posted 38 weeks ago
  3 bayoubear[Admin]
Is there a difference between "will she die by...." and will she still be alive at the end of ..."

Hmmmmmmmm
posted 25 weeks ago
  4 jamest
I presume you mean she is one of the undead, me I'm more optimistic. I'll vote yes.
posted 20 weeks ago
  5 jamest
I mean no darn it
posted 20 weeks ago
  6 donal
apparently it hasn't been decided yet amongst the powers that be at the moment, if Mrs T will get a state funeral.

Bloody lefties........sort it out!
posted 15 weeks ago
  7 jamest
As a bloody leftie (or at least left of Thatcher) I say yes sort it out. When she dies I want a national celebration.
posted 7 weeks ago
  8 jsevigny
Wouldn't it be nice if she has died, before, say 1984?
posted 5 weeks ago
  9 jsevigny
Wouldn't it be nice if she has died, before, say 1984?
posted 5 weeks ago
@jsevigny:

No. God bless Mrs Thatcher (or Maggie, as my grandmother used to call her).

Comments like yours, if they are to be made at all, should be reserved for brutal criminals - Che Guevara most obviously, Josef Stalin, and Saddam Hussein come to mind too.

Not for an honest lady who has devoted her life to leading her country in the direction she deemed best, through the democratic process. You can disagree with her ideals, perhaps, but she was (and is) a true patriot, dedicated to her country.
posted 5 weeks ago
  11 cognos[Power User]
Does the HUBDUB General Audience "REALLY LIKE" these types of questions, and the comments that are provided, "as entertainment"?

Can we envision where limitless moral boundaries deliver us? Haven't our forebears been clear in their nursery rhymes?

God Save the Queen, God Save Mrs. Thatcher, and God Save Hubdub!
posted 14 hours ago
  12 curios
Gee this place is reaching a all time low wake, up all you super users and admin please get this site on track
posted 12 hours ago

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