Created Mon 14th Apr 11:08am PDT by 
jarrod
All questions » Science » Space » jarrod Will NASA's Ares 1-X test rocket launch on April 15, 2009?
Current forecast: 8% chance 
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 8% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
The Ares 1-X mission will be the first of four test flights slated to be carried out under a $1.8 billion contract to design, develop and test the rocket's first stage: a five-segment solid rocket booster derived from the space shuttle system. It's also the first high-profile demonstration of a critical piece of the new U.S. space transportation system set to replace the space shuttles, carrying astronauts to orbit by 2015 and the moon by 2020.
This is an unmanned mission.
This is an unmanned mission.
Make your prediction!
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Yes |
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Activity: H$29,953
Question suspends in 26 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Wed 15th Apr 2009 5am PDT (26 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 50%
Action history:
Created Mon 14th Apr 11:08am PDT by jarrod
jarrod
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
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24 predictions
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predicted No (H$300 at 47%)Comments (2)
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score: 10
Tampa Tribune 6 days ago
WASHINGTON - With half a century of amazing accomplishments behind it, NASA is entering a second space age beset by uncertainty and searching for renewal. Though its agenda is ambitious - a return to the moon and an eventual flight to Mars
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