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Will New Orleans be the U.S. murder capital of 2008?

Current forecast: 46% chance 3%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 46% likely to happen (down 3% in last 1 day)

 
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Yes
46%
No
54%
Activity: H$5,738
Question suspends in 16 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: New Orleans has highest homicide rate in the country.

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 12am PST (16 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Tue 15th Jan 7:37pm PST by diana
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: New Orleans has highest homicide rate in the country.... read all

 

Predictions (30)

30 predictions

1 day ago
kengm predicted Yes (H$100 at 48%)
5 days ago
kengm predicted Yes (H$500 at 48%)
1 week ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted No (H$750 at 52%)
2 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Yes (H$100 at 50%)
2 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Yes (H$100 at 50%)
more

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