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Will Obama be able to win both the Indiana and North Carolina primaries on May 6, 2008?
http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/dates/#20080506
Background:
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
This refers to the winner of the popular vote in each state, not any delegate totals.
| Obama wins the popular vote in both states |
| |||
| Obama wins the popular vote in North Carolina, but not Indiana |
| |||
| Obama wins the popular vote in Indiana, but not North Carolina |
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| Clinton wins the popular vote in both states |
|
- Activity: H$115,875 |
- Predictions: 367 |
Comments: 22
Suspend date: Tue 6th May 2008 3:30pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 7th May 2008 9:43am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 6th May 2008 3:30pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Obama wins the popular vote in both states: 40%, Obama wins the popular vote in North Carolina, but not Indiana: 30%, Obama wins the popular vote in Indiana, but not North Carolina: 10%, Clinton wins the popular vote in both states: 20%
Action history:
ryanj
ananon
: Obama won NC and Hillary won IN
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/dates/#20080506
angelbaby3207
: It's over... Hilary won in Indiana, Obama won in NC... 
markov
: http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#IN markov: http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#val=NC ryanj: http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/dates/#20080506 
Suspend date: Tue 6th May 2008 3:30pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 7th May 2008 9:43am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 6th May 2008 3:30pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (367)
triathematician
predicted Obama wins the popular vote in North Carolina, but not Indiana (H$1,000 at 76%)triathematician predicted Obama wins the popular vote in North Carolina, but not Indiana (H$1,000 at 70%)
russell
predicted Obama wins the popular vote in both states (H$100 at 30%)
eponymousheroComments (22)
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I have one friend who is NEVER interested in politics, who has recently come out of the closet and is quite excited about Obama...
...could Obama be collecting additional votes from people who don't normally vote...?
In my (limited) experience people who don't vote may get excited about a canidate, tell all thier friends about him, etc etc... Then they forget what day the election is, or get bored becuase it's months down the road, or have something "better to do" on election day, or don't believe their candidate can win.........
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washington/2008/04/breaking-news-r.html
ol' Walnuts won handily with 73%...
"which was apparently reduced by some thousands of Republicans who changed their registration to vote Democratic for Clinton, as ordered by their leader, Rush Limbaugh, to promote further prolonged feuding among Democrats."
http://www.thedenverchannel.com/news/15980105/detail.html
"Limbaugh's comments prompted Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper to say, "Anyone who would call for riots in an American city has clearly lost their bearings." Well, yeah.
Erik, I agree. The US Democratic Party has been shooting in the foot for a long time.
Not to worry tho, I can't vote. I'm an ALIEN <g>
As of 5/1-5/2 Obama is now leading in North Carolina AND Indiana according to Zogby and Times/Bloomberg!
http://zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1496
http://www.calendarlive.com/media/acrobat/2008-04/37887889.pdf
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