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Will Obama forego public financing for the General Election in 2008?

Settled as Obama Does Not Accept Public Financing

By not accepting public financing, Obama can raise and spend a lot more money than McCain who probably will accept Federal funding.

From a New York Times article (04/10/08):
"No major-party candidate has turned down public financing for the general election since the system took effect in 1976. But while $84.1 million for the two-month fall campaign is a sizable amount of money, Mr. Obama’s fund-raising machine has shown an ability to eclipse the figure easily, having raised $55 million in February alone and an additional $40 million in March."

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/10/us/politics/10campaign.html?ref=us

 
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Settled

Obama Does Accept Public Financing
4%
Obama Does Not Accept Public Financing
96%
Obama is not the Democratic Nominee
0%
Activity: H$23,913
Settled as Obama Does Not Accept Public Financing on Thu 19th Jun 7:04am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Tue 2nd Sep 12:59am PDT (5 weeks to go)

Settlement date: Thu 19th Jun 7:04am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 19th Jun 6:10am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Obama Does Accept Public Financing : 35%, Obama Does Not Accept Public Financing: 50%, Obama is not the Democratic Nominee: 15%

Action history:

Created Thu 10th Apr 9:08am PDT by bayoubear
Suspended Thu 19th Jun 5:55am PDT by jenniandboys[Power User]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Thu 19th Jun 5:55am PDT by jenniandboys[Power User]: http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5ijDA5bgxiHlTvS_r-SSjskS1Tq1wD91D58880

Released at/near 0830 EDT (market suspended)
Settled as 'Obama Does Not Accept Public Financing' Thu 19th Jun 7:04am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5ijDA5bgxiHlTvS_r-SSjskS1Tq1wD91D58880
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 
6 weeks ago
canadianveggie predicted Obama Does Not Accept Public Financing (H$50)
6 weeks ago
robmar predicted Obama Does Accept Public Financing (H$500)
6 weeks ago
dragon01 predicted Obama Does Not Accept Public Financing (H$20)
6 weeks ago
freedenboy predicted Obama Does Accept Public Financing (H$20)
6 weeks ago
coolkraft predicted Obama Does Not Accept Public Financing (H$1,000)
6 weeks ago
coolkraft predicted Obama Does Not Accept Public Financing (H$1,000)
6 weeks ago
coolkraft predicted Obama Does Not Accept Public Financing (H$100)
7 weeks ago
erikt predicted Obama Does Not Accept Public Financing (H$300)
7 weeks ago
robmar predicted Obama Does Accept Public Financing (H$500)
7 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted Obama Does Not Accept Public Financing (H$200)
  1 coolkraft
just announced that Obama will not accept public financing
posted 4 weeks ago
thanks coolkraft, request submitted!
posted 4 weeks ago

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