Created Tue 18th Mar 11:39am PDT by 
paulcroft
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Will Pope Benedict XVI die in 2008?
Current forecast: 6% chance 
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 6% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
The Pope turns 81 in April 2008. Although in relatively good health, his age is a factor.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
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Yes |
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Activity: H$94,237
Question suspends in 6 weeks
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 1:59pm PST (6 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 52%
Action history:
Created Tue 18th Mar 11:39am PDT by paulcroft
paulcroft 
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Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 1:59pm PST (6 weeks to go)
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172 predictions
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score: 10
San Francisco Chronicle 3 days ago
profess. He also recommends that they act with moral rigor and work passionately for the common good. The pope urged Vatican officials in a speech Saturday to be vigilant about the evangelical education of Catholics who get so involved in society.
score: 10
The Times 4 days ago
Vatican 'health minister', but this is a bit of a simplification. The Council was created in 1985 by Pope John Paul II with a brief to 'show the solicitude of the Church for the sick by helping those who serve the sick and suffering, so that their
score: 10
Asia Times Online 1 week ago
Page 1 of 2 By Spengler On the face of it, Pope Benedict XVI seems to have handed an enormous propaganda victory to the Muslim scholars who met with Catholic leaders in Rome on November 4-7. Victories of this sort, though, are
score: 10
NewsMax.com 1 week ago
VATICAN CITY - Christians and Muslims must overcome their misunderstandings, Pope Benedict XVI told Muslim clergy and scholars Thursday as he pressed for greater freedom of worship for non-Muslims in the Islamic world. His meeting in the Apostolic Palace
score: 10
The Times 1 week ago
My report yesterday that Archbishop Gregory of Atlanta had suggested there could be a 'black Pope' in the wake of Barack Obama's election as the first African-American President seems to have created a bit of a stir. Some readers pointed out that there
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