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Will Scotland become an independent state by 2010?

Background: Currently Scotland is a devolved part of the UK. It has semi-autonomous powers, and a referendum for independence is planned in the coming years.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
4%
No
96%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 9:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 15%

Action history:

Created Sun 9th Mar 2008 6:17am PST by ryanj
Edited Sun 9th Mar 2008 6:23am PST by ryanj

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 9:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (58)

1 week ago
nyharel predicted No (H$300 at 96%)
6 weeks ago
harlech predicted No (H$20 at 96%)
17 weeks ago
mikeblakeney predicted No (H$100 at 95%)
17 weeks ago
harlech predicted No (H$20 at 95%)
20 weeks ago
jamest predicted No (H$500 at 95%)

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