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Will Scotland become an independent state by 2010?

Current forecast: 13% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 13% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Currently Scotland is a devolved part of the UK. It has semi-autonomous powers, and a referendum for independence is planned in the coming years.
 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
13%
No
87%
Activity: H$4,753
Question suspends in 1 year
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.


Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 9:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 15%

Action history:

Created Sun 9th Mar 7:17am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Edited Sun 9th Mar 7:23am PDT by ryanj[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. ... read all

 

Predictions (29)

29 predictions

1 week ago
charles1 predicted No (H$50 at 87%)
4 weeks ago
fooobart predicted No (H$100 at 87%)
7 weeks ago
andrew predicted No (H$100 at 87%)
8 weeks ago
gleesonb predicted No (H$100 at 87%)
8 weeks ago
lordorion predicted No (H$100 at 86%)
more

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