Created Fri 1st Feb 7:40am PST by
dohler
All questions » World » Other » Will Simon Mann die in Equatorial Guinea?
Current forecast: 50% chance
5%
5%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 50% likely to happen (up 5% in last 1 day)
Simon Mann, who attempted a private coup of Equatorial Guinea, was recently deported to that country from Zimbabwe. His lawyers have alleged that he could face torture in Equatorial Guinea, and a co-conspirator of Mann died in prison there. Officials in E Guinea say he will receive a fair trial.
Settlement details:
Settlement if Mann dies while in Equatorial Guinea, or if he leaves Equatorial Guinea and arrives in a country which has pledged not to deport him there. As reported by a major mainstream news source.
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Activity: H$2,350
Open question (no suspend date)
Suspend date: None
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
Suspend date: None
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Predictions (4)
4 predictions
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This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
News24.com 6 days ago
Malabo - The top UN expert on torture Manfred Nowak, is visiting Equatorial Guinea to 'evaluate' cases of mistreatment in the key African oil-producing nation, officials said on Wednesday. 'One of the key elements of this mission is to visit places where
score: 10
News24.com 6 days ago
has ruled Egypt for 27 years and routinely been re-elected unopposed with vote totals of more than 95%. Equatorial Guinea's President Teodoro Obiang Nguema seized power in a 1979 coup, three years before Paul Biya became president in neighbouring
score: 10
Haaretz 1 week ago
Israeli businesswoman Yardena Ovadia is operating as a mediator in arms sales to the African nation of Equatorial Guinea for sums of up to $100 million, security sources told Haaretz in recent days. One such deal involved sales by Israel Shipyards Ltd.
score: 10
Haaretz 1 week ago
years ago and formed a friendship with President Teodoro Obiang, who has ruled the country since a bloody coup in 1979. Obiang is believed to have ordered the deaths of thousands of citizens during his tenure, and to head of one of the most corrupt
score: 10
IAfrica.com 1 week ago
ruled Egypt for 27 years and routinely been re-elected unopposed with vote totals of more than 95 percent. Equatorial Guinea President Teodoro Obiang Nguema seized power in a 1979 coup, three years before Paul Biya became president in neighbouring




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