Created Fri 22nd Feb 1:14pm PST by
rootehound
All questions » Business » Deals » 
Will Toyota buy a majority stake in General Motors by December 31, 2008?
Current forecast: 25% chance

Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 25% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
Toyota buys GM and other improbables
Posted Mar 18th 2006 8:00AM by Joel Arellano
Filed under: Etc., Plants/Manufacturing, Ford, GM, Honda, Toyota
Among auto enthusiasts, one way to pass the time is imagining what would happen if Toyota purchased General Motors. The mind of Bloomberg columnist Doron Levin must wander a lot as he imagines a scenario in which Honda also acquires Ford. In the mind's eye of his postapocalyptic world (or is it?), ‘ToyotaGM’ would instantly become the #1 automaker in the world. Hope would return to domestic-dependent areas like Flint, Michigan. Productivity would increase and both Toyota and Honda would be enshrined in American hearts for saving a pair of American institutions.
And then Levin douses himself with the cold facts of reality.
He points out what is common knowledge to many auto and financial insiders: GM and Ford are ‘poison pills’ with the following effects:
Healthcare and retirement obligations
One-sided contracts with the domestic unions
Management culture.
More details can be found at the link. Is Levin on the mark here or is the possibility of Japanese giants saving the day at the 11th hour a real possibility?
[Source: Bloomberg]
Posted Mar 18th 2006 8:00AM by Joel Arellano
Filed under: Etc., Plants/Manufacturing, Ford, GM, Honda, Toyota
Among auto enthusiasts, one way to pass the time is imagining what would happen if Toyota purchased General Motors. The mind of Bloomberg columnist Doron Levin must wander a lot as he imagines a scenario in which Honda also acquires Ford. In the mind's eye of his postapocalyptic world (or is it?), ‘ToyotaGM’ would instantly become the #1 automaker in the world. Hope would return to domestic-dependent areas like Flint, Michigan. Productivity would increase and both Toyota and Honda would be enshrined in American hearts for saving a pair of American institutions.
And then Levin douses himself with the cold facts of reality.
He points out what is common knowledge to many auto and financial insiders: GM and Ford are ‘poison pills’ with the following effects:
Healthcare and retirement obligations
One-sided contracts with the domestic unions
Management culture.
More details can be found at the link. Is Levin on the mark here or is the possibility of Japanese giants saving the day at the 11th hour a real possibility?
[Source: Bloomberg]
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Activity: H$49,893
Question suspends in 16 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Tue 30th Dec 12pm PST (16 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 50%
Action history:
Created Fri 22nd Feb 1:14pm PST by
rootehound
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
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score: 10
Houston Chronicle 18 hours ago
is a good one.' Honda rose 3.1 percent to 3,640 yen at the close of trading in Tokyo. Toyota gained 0.4 percent to 4,870 yen, while Nissan slipped 0.8 percent to 830 yen. U.S. auto sales slid for a 10th straight month, pushing the industry toward its
score: 10
Globe Investor 23 hours ago
the border. Vehicle sales tumbled 7 per cent in Canada, paced by big declines at Chrysler Canada Inc., General Motors of Canada Ltd. and Honda Canada Inc. Double-digit slides at those three auto makers and Ford Motor Co. of Canada Ltd. overshadowed
score: 10
Puregreencars 3 days ago
of new cars, trucks and buses, excluding sales of mini-cars and mini-trucks, dropped 14.9 percent to 193,902 units. Toyota sales dropped 18.4 percent to 83,315 units, while sales of its Lexus luxury brand tumbled 44.4 percent to 1,188 units. Sales posted
score: 10
2456.com 3 days ago
of eight major Japanese automakers, saw year-on-year growth in global automobile production in July.The eight major automakers include Toyota Motor Corp, Honda Motor Co, Nissan Motor Co, Suzuki Motor Corp, Mazda Motor Corp, Daihatsu Motor Co. and Fuji
score: 10
Sharewatch 4 days ago
months. Sales dropped despite the active rollout of new vehicles by major Japanese automakers to boost domestic sales. Toyota Motor Corp released its Alphard/Velfire minivan and Nissan Motor Co its fully-revamped Teana sedan, while Honda Motor Co
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