Created Thu 1st May 2008 2:07pm PST by

nigeleccles [Admin]

Will Twitter drop or announce they are dropping Ruby on Rails by end of July?

Settled as No

No news of this has surfaced.

Background:

Background: TechCrunch is reporting that Twitter is going to abandon Ruby on Rails (http://tinyurl.com/6g93om). Twitter famously has had massive scalability problems which many commentators have put down to their use of Ruby on Rails. Their former Chief Architect Blaine Cook famously claimed that scaling Rails was "easy".

TechCrunch is saying they are picking this up from multiple but un-named sources so looks to me about 60% likely that it will happen with 3 months. So, is it sayonara to Rails?

Settlement details:Will be settled as yes if Twitter announce they are abandoning Ruby on Rails or just the Rails framework. In addition, it will be settled as yes if Twitter don't make any announcement but it is widely reported in the tech media that they have abandoned Ruby on Rails or the Rails framework.

Forecast history %

Yes

93%

Settled as No on Fri 1st Aug 2008 12:13am PST

Activity: H$73,514
Predictions: 222
Comments: 1

Suspend date: Thu 31st Jul 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Aug 2008 12:13am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Jul 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Thu 1st May 2008 2:07pm PST by

nigeleccles [Admin]

Suspended Thu 31st Jul 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as 'No' Fri 1st Aug 2008 12:13am PST by

tomg

: No news of this has surfaced.

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Predictions (222)

1 year ago

amcvitty Level 11, Legend (H$15,107)

predicted No (H$20 at 93%) - 1 comments

1 year ago

tomg

predicted No (H$20 at 93%)

1 year ago

amcvitty Level 11, Legend (H$15,107)

predicted No (H$494 at 92%)

1 year ago

racketdad Level 11, Legend (H$17,315)

predicted No (H$500 at 92%)

1 year ago

nitetalker Level 5, Predictor (H$1,794)

predicted No (H$400 at 92%)

Comments (1)

nigeleccles [Admin]

http://twitter.com/ev/statuses/801530348

Evan Williams responds...

posted 1 year ago

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