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Will US and Russia reach deal on Missile Defense by the meeting between Bush and Putin scheduled for April 6 in the Black Sea resort city of Sochi?

Settled as No

U.S. negotiators said Thursday they had made progress in drafting a document with Russian counterparts that could include a deal on the divisive U.S. missile defense plan.
The U.S. officials said they hope to complete the document laying out areas of agreement before a meeting between President Bush and Russian President Vladimir Putin scheduled for April 6 in the Black Sea resort city of Sochi. The two days of talks with the Russian delegation began Wednesday.
However, the officials who led the U.S. negotiating team said it was unclear whether disagreements over missile defense and other issues would be resolved in time.
 
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Settled

Yes
3%
No
97%
Activity: H$60,187
Settled as No on Sun 6th Apr 8:03am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Sun 6th Apr 5:59am PDT

Settlement date: Sun 6th Apr 8:03am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 6th Apr 5:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 55%

Action history:

Created Thu 27th Mar 11:25pm PDT by orlin
Edited Fri 28th Mar 5:48pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Clarified Fri 28th Mar 5:49pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Edited market to cut down on the text. The same question is asked just in a shorter form.
Settlement requested Sun 6th Apr 1:42am PDT by orlin: 'President Bush began a farewell call in Russia on Saturday as the White House abandoned hope of a major agreement on missile defense during weekend talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin.'

Answer should be "NO"

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5g8-DEMtAE9q4i4ySQ0eV_qZefmRQD8VRQ9UO0

http://apnews.myway.com/article/20080406/D8VS17500.html
Settlement requested Sun 6th Apr 1:44am PDT by orlin: Also, Reuters: 'the White House all but ruled out any deal this weekend.'

http://www.reuters.com/article/politicsNews/idUSN0421652420080406
Suspended Sun 6th Apr 5:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Sun 6th Apr 8:03am PDT by ryanj[Admin]:
http://apnews.myway.com/article/20080406/D8VS17500.html
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

17 weeks ago
jake predicted No (H$2,000 at 97%)
17 weeks ago
syzslack predicted No (H$100 at 96%)
17 weeks ago
pulloverthatasstoophat predicted Yes (H$27 at 4%)
17 weeks ago
pasha1978 predicted No (H$100 at 96%)
17 weeks ago
math predicted Yes (H$100 at 3%)
more

Comments

  1 ryanj[Admin]
Edited market to cut down on the text. The same question is asked just in a shorter form.

Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
posted 18 weeks ago
does reaching a deal include Bush agreeing not to pursue the missile defense system?
posted 18 weeks ago
  3 ryanj[Admin]
I'd imagine so. But it would have to be a statement in which he is saying that the US will no longer pursue the missile defense system, and to be honest I can't see that happening. That doesn't mean it won't though. Maybe Putin will take off his shirt and it will all be fine....

Regards,

Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Cntent Editor
posted 18 weeks ago
God i hope not!
posted 18 weeks ago
Hey all hubdubbers, the admins who control this site want EVERYONE'S input on how to deal with this cheater Satyaki and ALL future gamers ... They are asking for everyone to post their opinions and suggestions for the official rules on this link:
http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/proposed_new_procedure_for_dealing_with_gaming?
This ongoing problem stems from this:
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/Why_is_it_that_Satyaki_keeps_creating_Lahore_Badshahs_vs_xyz_team_questions_yet_Donal_doent_void_them_5294/view#newcomment

Here is the LATEST proposal from hubdub admins that they desire our say on:
Admins want a 4 strikes and your out process:
Proposed new procedure for dealing with gaming
Hubdub Representative
To date we have dealt with gaming on a case by case basis. However it has become clear that we need to have a defined process for dealing with individuals that game. Therefore this is our proposed procedure:
1. First identified instance/set of instances: Email warning
2. Second identified instance/set of instances: Email warning, user placed on public watch list (for 2 weeks) and fined 50% of worth
3. Third instance/set of instances: Email warning, user placed on public watch list (for 2 weeks) and fined down to H$1,000
4. Any subsequent instance will result in their ability to create questions removed and potentially suspension of their account.
We propose to apply this procedure for all new instances of gaming however some users are on their first warning and one user is on their second warning.


HOWEVER, several of us users are calling for a MUCH stiffer penalty process and this is our overall latest proposal back to the admins:
We want a 3 strikes you're out process:
1. First identified instance/set of instances: Email warning, user placed on public watch list (for 2 weeks) and fined 50% of worth.
2. Second instance/set of instances: Email warning, user placed on public watch list (for 2 weeks to 30 days) and fined down to H$1,000. AND removal of the gamers' right to create question for a period of time.
3. Any subsequent instance will result in definite, permanent suspension of their account, their IP and all other accounts by the gamer.


Have your say and please add your input at the area the admins have set up for this purpose:
http://getsatisfaction.com/hubdub/topics/proposed_new_procedure_for_dealing_with_gaming?

lucidstates (This user: Is On Strike)
posted 17 weeks ago
I was told on an earlier question that the word "by", according to Hubdub rules, includes the date in the question. In this case that would mean it includes April 6th, however, obviously it was settled before the end of the day. I say this as someone who has made money by betting on no. I ask only for consistency.
posted 17 weeks ago
  7 ryanj[Admin]
By does include the date specified. But Hubdub admins can settle a market early if it is 99.9% certain that the option settled will occur. So because it is 99.9% certain that no deal between Bush and Putin will occur I settled early.

Regards,

Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
posted 17 weeks ago

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