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Will US President Bush lift the trade embargo on Cuba before the end of his term?

Current forecast: 11% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 11% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

With the end of Fidel Castro era, many are hopeful for reforms that would lead to a warming of relations between Cuba and the US.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
11%
No
89%
Activity: H$29,581
Question suspends in 8 weeks

Suspend date: Tue 20th Jan 2009 3:59pm PST (8 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Sun 24th Feb 8:43am PST by mikehoncho

Suspend date: Tue 20th Jan 2009 3:59pm PST (8 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (133)

133 predictions

3 days ago
andrewpmk predicted No (H$5 at 89%)
1 week ago
crackbaby predicted No (H$50 at 90%)
1 week ago
stephenry predicted No (H$100 at 90%)
1 week ago
peddi predicted No (H$100 at 90%)
1 week ago
bmpiety predicted No (H$100 at 90%)
more

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