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Will U.S. President George Bush attend the opening ceremonies of the 2008 Summer Olympics?

Settled as Yes

With more and more Tibetan and human rights groups asking Bush to skip the opening ceremonies, will he concede or will he attend?
 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
92%
No
8%
Activity: H$51,783
Settled as Yes on Fri 4th Jul 11:54am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Sat 19th Jul 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: Fri 4th Jul 11:54am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 3rd Jul 2pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Mon 31st Mar 9:20am PDT by fijis
Edited Wed 2nd Apr 4:33pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Edited Wed 2nd Apr 4:34pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Edited Wed 2nd Apr 4:36pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]
Clarified Wed 2nd Apr 4:38pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Ceremonies should be fine for the market. If he attends the opening ceremony/ceremonies (same thing, just semantics) the market is settled as a yes.
Suspended Thu 3rd Jul 2:11pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Looking fro earliest settlement link
Settlement requested Thu 3rd Jul 4:05pm PDT by Erik: http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5i50ytjOIbJybMFpwRoHLEpKuS8pwD91MKV7O7
"President Bush will attend the opening ceremonies of the Olympics in Beijing, the White House said Thursday. The announcement quashed any talk of a presidential boycott over China's violent crackdown after anti-government riots and protests in Tibet."
Unsuspended Fri 4th Jul 10:44am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: It's best we stick to our guns here. We've said many times that when something is announced that announcement can be used as settlement. In this case Bush has announced he will attend.
Suspended Fri 4th Jul 10:44am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: It's best we stick to our guns here. We've said many times that when something is announced that announcement can be used as settlement. In this case Bush has announced he will attend.
Settlement requested Fri 4th Jul 11:50am PDT by onedave: This article states that Bush will attend. However, the decision was not conditional on results of talks between China and the Dalai Lama. http://www.allheadlinenews.com/articles/7011505213
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. ... read all

 

Predictions (115)

115 predictions

8 weeks ago
captainron predicted No (H$100 at 7%)
8 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted Yes (H$455 at 81%)
8 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted Yes (H$600 at 80%)
8 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted Yes (H$500 at 79%)
8 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted Yes (H$500 at 78%)
more

Comments (12)

  2 ladylara

WASHINGTON (AP) -- "It would be a 'cop-out' for countries to skip the opening ceremonies at the Beijing Olympics as a way of protesting China's crackdown in Tibet, President Bush's national security adviser Hadley said Sunday. ...'We haven't worked out the details of his schedule at this point in time, but from his vantage point, if you listen to what he has said, he has no reason not to go,' Hadley said in broadcast interviews Sunday. 'Because what he has said is we need to be using diplomacy.' "
Oh dear, Bush's style of diplomacy leaves a lot to be desired.. But it sounds loike he'll appear.
posted 19 weeks ago
  3 Erik
This Should be settled as Yes. Per the spitzer rule...He's said he's going to go.
posted 12 weeks ago
  4 destry[Admin]
@Erik - I understand your frustration. Instead of spending time finding questions to comment on repeatedly, you should take a moment and familarize yourself with the rules. The Spitzer rule and many of the others are very clear. You will understand how this market and some of the others you commented in aren't subject to these provisions.
posted 12 weeks ago
  5 Erik
Destry- Don't tell me what I should or shouldn't do. Facts are facts. These should be settled. Clinton has also announced She will fight to the end. Therefore, the spitzer rulle applies that she will go on to the convention.
posted 12 weeks ago
  6 mrperfkt[Admin]
I just noticed this and can see both sides of the argument. There were news stories out today stating that Bush will attend. However, the question does not say "will bush announce that he's atttending." I can't speak for the creator of this question, but fijis states "will he attend."

Oh, and Clinton did not go on to the convention...despite what she said she was doing. :)
posted 8 weeks ago
  7 dieseldog
@destry & eric..don't be giving the admins a reason to break out the popcorn.
posted 8 weeks ago
  8 jake
This can't be settled until the opening ceremony when President Bush is seen in attendance.
posted 8 weeks ago
  9 bayoubear[Admin]
Yep...things can change over the next few weeks...let's see if he makes it there before suspending
posted 8 weeks ago
  10 bayoubear[Admin]
Just reread the question and actually part of it is settled...the question was focusing on whether or not issues related to Tibet and human rights would prevent Bush from attending. By announcing that he will attend, that has settled that part of the question . . . BUT, he still hasn't shown up and other things can happen (including additional pressure on Tibetan issues and human rights) that might cause him not to attend.

posted 8 weeks ago
  11 mrperfkt[Admin]
The tribe has spoken....
posted 7 weeks ago
  12 ryanj[Admin]
We routinely settle markets based on announcements. For example settling a market when we knew Obama would be the nominee. This market was settled in the same context. The outcome is known as of now.

Regards,

Ryan
Hubdub Category Editor
posted 7 weeks ago

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