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Will Windows 7 be released in 2009?

Current forecast: 53% chance 1%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 53% likely to happen (up 1% in last 1 day)

Is the schedule for Windows 7 being moved forward due to poor Windows Vista sales?

Question will settle as yes if a final (non-beta) version of Windows 7 is released to some end-users during 2009 (ie. retail users only, or business users only counts as a yes, but only released to OEMs without any OEMs releasing a product running on it would count as a no).


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
53%
No
47%
Activity: H$30,048
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%

Action history:

Created Mon 28th Jan 8:32am PST by dojikami
Edited Thu 6th Mar 12:58pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
Settlement requested Sun 20th Apr 2:08pm PDT by ironman288: Microsoft itself has confirmed that Windows 7 will not be released in 2009:

http://www.engadget.com/2008/03/13/microsoft-finally-confirms-windows-7-for-2010-launch/
Clarified Tue 22nd Apr 5:18am PDT by tomg[Admin]: Still not 99.9% certain it will not be shipped in 2009 http://blogs.zdnet.com/Bott/?p=426

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (129)

129 predictions

22 hours ago
stpatrick predicted Yes (H$100 at 53%)
6 days ago
rogi predicted Yes (H$250 at 53%)
1 week ago
nightwish predicted No (H$50 at 47%)
1 week ago
mattg42 predicted No (H$50 at 47%)
1 week ago
esop predicted Yes (H$50 at 53%)
more

Comments (4)

  1 wykell
This just in from Gizmodo via WinVista Club: Windos 7 NOT coming in 2009.

http://gizmodo.com/349673/rumor-smashed-windows-7-not-coming-in-2009
posted 41 weeks ago
Microsoft says that Windows 7 may not be out until 2011! Woohooo, Apple Inc. wins again due to the fact their next operating system is due out bye first quarter 2009 :-D Microsoft sucks soooooo bad!
posted 41 weeks ago
To "win" is to change the operating system and hardware requirements the most often?
A little "trolling" can be fun but you are not a very bright troll.
posted 5 weeks ago

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