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Will Yahoo buy AOL from Time Warner?

Current forecast: 35% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 35% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Yahoo is trying to thwart the 800 pound Gorilla from Redmond's (Microsoft) attempt to take over the company. Will Yahoo try to defend itself by buying AOL?
 
% chance over time
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Make your prediction!

Yes
35%
No
65%
Activity: H$22,468
Question suspends in 19 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (19 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Mon 11th Feb 6:38pm PST by electroaffinity
Edited Tue 26th Feb 2:19pm PST by lesley[Admin]
Edited Thu 6th Mar 12:24pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
Clarified Thu 10th Apr 2:04am PDT by tomg[Admin]: 2.3.4 Business Category

* For questions with regards takeovers an "offer" is defined as public or private offer to buy the target company. Offers of assistance do not count.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

12 weeks ago
giggins predicted No (H$100 at 65%)
13 weeks ago
lewisdotcom predicted No (H$50 at 65%)
13 weeks ago
sawta predicted Yes (H$50 at 35%)
13 weeks ago
sawta predicted Yes (H$20 at 42%)
13 weeks ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted No (H$750 at 57%)
more

Comments

  1 tomg[Admin]
Clarification from Hubdub rules: http://www.hubdub.com/public/goodquestion

2.3.4 Business Category

* For questions with regards takeovers an "offer" is defined as public or private offer to buy the target company. Offers of assistance do not count.
posted 18 weeks ago
VERY intriguing question :-D Hmmmm, I like, I like :-D ... I cannot decide, yet, this is a very cool thought :-D Would certainly be smart for both companies :-D

lucidstates
posted 18 weeks ago

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