Created Tue 12th Feb 7:14am PST by 
hdbikerman883
All questions » General » Weather » hdbikerman883 
Will a Category 4 or 5 Hurricane hit the US in 2008?
Current forecast: 67% chance 
24%
24%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 67% likely to happen (up 24% in last 1 day)
Make your prediction!
|
|
Yes |
|
|||
|
|
No |
|
Activity: H$42,519
Question suspends in 17 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. Typhoons in the pacific hitting Hawaii would count.
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (17 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 80%
Action history:
Created Tue 12th Feb 7:14am PST by hdbikerman883
hdbikerman883
Edited Sat 29th Mar 7:18am PDT by 
diana
diana
Edited Sat 29th Mar 7:18am PDT by diana
diana
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. Typhoons in the pacific hitting Hawaii would count.... read all
Get widget!New!Predictions (97)
97 predictions
cheesenips
mrperfkt![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 68%)
curios
infernalmachine
bigken1Comments (6)
New to Hubdub?
Hubdub lets you play at predicting the outcomes of real running news questions
Related tags
Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
Reuters UK 1 hour ago
Hurricane Gustav strengthened into a major Category 3 storm on Saturday as it moved over warm Caribbean waters toward western Cuba, the U.S...
score: 10
Belfast Telegraph 3 hours ago
Exactly three years since Hurricane Katrina devastated New Orleans, another tropical storm is heading towards America's Gulf coast.. . . Hurricane ...
score: 10
People's Daily Online 1 day ago
New Orleans, still recovering from the devastating Hurricane Katrina that hit three years ago, is drawing up evacuation plans for a possible attack from tropical storm Gustav, which has killed 22 people in the Caribbean. On the eve
score: 10
score: 10
EView Week 1 day ago
the western tip of Cuba before nearing the oil fields of the Gulf of Mexico as a powerful hurricane. A man pushes his car through a flooded street in Havana August 26, 2008. Torrential rains hit the city as weather forecasters predicted on Tuesday that
hope this makes it more clear
A Category 4 Hurricane requires wind speeds of 131 mph (210 km).
For the purposes of this question, the Hurricane must hit 1 of the 50 States (not territories) while it retains winds of at least 131 mph.
I hope this helps.
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
1100 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2008
THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED OVER THE PAST FEW
HOURS...WITH A WELL-DEFINED EYE AND A THICKENING EYEWALL. DVORAK
CLASSIFICATIONS AT 00Z WERE T3.5 FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB BUT THE
STRUCTURE HAS IMPROVED SINCE THEN. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
INCREASED TO 60 KT AND THE NEXT AIRCRAFT AT 06Z WILL MOST LIKELY
FIND A HURRICANE. A MICROWAVE PASS AT 2243Z SHOWED A LOW-LEVEL
EYEWALL. GIVEN THIS STRUCTURE...AND A SHIPS RI INDEX WELL ABOVE
CLIMATOLOGY...SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY PRIOR TO THE
CENTER OF GUSTAV REACHING HAITI. AFTER THAT...THE INTENSITY OF
GUSTAV WILL DEPEND LARGELY ON HOW MUCH THE CIRCULATION INTERACTS
WITH THE LAND MASSES OF HAITI AND CUBA. GLOBAL MODELS FORECAST AN
UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THAT...WHILE NOT ANTICYCLONIC...IS AT LEAST
DIFLUENT AND OF LIGHT SHEAR. THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK INDICATES
MORE TIME OVER WATER THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND SO THE
INTENSITY FORECAST HAS BEEN INCREASED TO REFLECT THAT. BOTH THE
GFDL AND THE HWRF SHOW GUSTAV AVOIDING NEARLY ALL OF CUBA AND HAVE
GUSTAV AS A MAJOR HURRICANE IN FIVE DAYS.
Please log in or join to post a comment.