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Will a Tsunami be the worst natural disaster (most lives taken) on earth in 2008?

Current forecast: 14% chance 1%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 14% likely to happen (down 1% in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
14%
No
86%
Activity: H$13,020
Question suspends in 6 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (6 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Thu 31st Jan 12:13pm PST by padrefan98

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (6 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (18)

18 predictions

2 days ago
thepeoplegeekllc predicted Yes (H$100 at 14%)
1 week ago
oppugner predicted No (H$100 at 86%)
9 weeks ago
wscheck predicted No (H$100 at 82%)
9 weeks ago
thepeoplegeekllc predicted Yes (H$500 at 16%)
10 weeks ago
p0tramp predicted No (H$20 at 86%)
more

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