Will a category 7 or greater eathquake strike the mainland United States by July 4th, 2008?
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Yes |
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No |
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Suspend date: Sat 5th Jul 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 7th Jul 8:40am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 5th Jul 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%
Action history:
The above shows no reports of earthquakes greater than a category 3.4 hit america on the given date of 4th of July so this qualifies the question as a 'No'.
Suspend date: Sat 5th Jul 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 7th Jul 8:40am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 5th Jul 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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Predictions (47)
47 predictions
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