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Will a category 7 or greater eathquake strike the mainland United States by July 4th, 2008?

Settled as No


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
2%
No
98%
Activity: H$61,089
Settled as No on Mon 7th Jul 8:40am PDT

Suspend date: Sat 5th Jul 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 7th Jul 8:40am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 5th Jul 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Thu 1st May 11:05am PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
Suspended Sat 5th Jul 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 5th Jul 1:05am PDT by orlin: No: There wasn't such earthquake.
Settlement requested Sun 6th Jul 9:16pm PDT by orlin: No.
Settlement requested Mon 7th Jul 12:46am PDT by kismet: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_all.php

The above shows no reports of earthquakes greater than a category 3.4 hit america on the given date of 4th of July so this qualifies the question as a 'No'.
Settled as 'No' Mon 7th Jul 8:40am PDT by tisha[Admin]

Suspend date: Sat 5th Jul 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 7th Jul 8:40am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 5th Jul 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (47)

47 predictions

19 weeks ago
dragon01 predicted No (H$500 at 98%)
19 weeks ago
semperfi76 predicted No (H$100 at 97%)
19 weeks ago
mjackson33 predicted No (H$100 at 97%)
19 weeks ago
opie predicted No (H$100 at 96%)
20 weeks ago
kevans predicted No (H$100 at 96%)
more

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