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Will a century be scored in any of these IPL matches?

Settled as Yes

Background: Matches:
Knight Riders vs Chargers, Apr 20
Mumbai Indians vs Royals, Apr 20
Royals vs Kings XI Punjab, Apr 21
Chargers vs Daredevils, Apr 22
Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians, Apr 23

Basis off odds:
Total international T20 matches:54
Centuries scored: 1
Chances of century being scored in any one match: 1/54=1.85%. Thus, chances of any one being scored in five matches:1.85*5=9.25%

However, batting conditions seem to be good and a century has already been scored in the 1st Match. Thus, odds: 13% yes.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
35%
No
65%
Settled as Yes on Fri 25th Apr 2008 4:07am PST

Suspend date: Tue 22nd Apr 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 25th Apr 2008 4:07am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 22nd Apr 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 13%

Action history:

Created Sat 19th Apr 2008 5:34am PST by rohan
Suspended Tue 22nd Apr 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 24th Apr 2008 5:20pm PST by rohan: Andrew Symonds scored.
Settled as 'Yes' Fri 25th Apr 2008 4:07am PST by donal

Suspend date: Tue 22nd Apr 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 25th Apr 2008 4:07am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 22nd Apr 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (21)

1 year ago
cakie174 predicted Yes (H$20 at 36%)
1 year ago
bcguelph predicted No (H$100 at 65%)
1 year ago
steph predicted Yes (H$50 at 35%)
1 year ago
curios predicted Yes (H$100 at 28%)
1 year ago
lucidstates predicted No (H$50 at 79%)

Comments (7)

  1 rohan
Hopefully the odds are satisfactory to one and all
posted 1 year ago
  2 chris[Admin]
Nicely calculated odds, but at 18% it's got to be worth a no vote...
posted 1 year ago
  3 rohan
You know, I'd bet on yes...
posted 1 year ago
I bet on NO, but what is a Century anyway?
posted 1 year ago
  5 Erik
psst, lucid.....100 years <wink>
posted 1 year ago
  6 Erik
lol.sorry, I couldn't resist
posted 1 year ago
  7 rohan

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