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Will a permit be issued for the construction of a new nuclear power plant in the U.S. by 1/1/2010?

Background: As greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise, some are rethinking the viability of nuclear power.

Will there be a permit issued by the end of 2009?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source or confirmed by the U.S. Atomic Energy Commission or Department of Energy.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
17%
No
83%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Mon 28th Jan 2008 7:55pm PST by jgrimaldi

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (18)

1 week ago
bigken1 predicted No (H$50 at 83%)
1 week ago
frogchop predicted No (H$1,000 at 82%)
29 weeks ago
larimore_9 predicted No (H$20 at 39%)
33 weeks ago
rogerkni predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 59%)
50 weeks ago
carlbeeth predicted Yes (H$50 at 57%)

Comments (2)

Why does this question say it has 1 year to go, but January is less than 6 months away?
posted 1 year ago
Looks like the author chose Jan 2010 instead of 2009.. oops. Will flag and ask for an edit. Thanks for pointing it out.
posted 1 year ago

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