Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
PoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral

Will a plug-in Toyota Prius beat the Chevy Volt to the showroom?

Settled as Neither is available by 2010

Neither made it by the beginning of 2010, although both are trying for a 2011 model that might see the sales floor by the end of 2010

Background:

Background: Chevrolet has announced plans to have their plug-in hybrid car, the Volt, available by 2010. Toyota has also announced plans to offer a plug-in version of their popular Prius hybrid, but have not officially set a date for its availability. Will Toyota push to have their car out first, or will Chevy make their deadline?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Volt reaches market first
4%
Plug-in Prius reaches market first
5%
Neither is available by 2010
91%
Settled as Neither is available by 2010 on Sat 30th Jan 9:27am PST

Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 30th Jan 9:27am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 24th Dec 2009 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Volt reaches market first: 50%, Plug-in Prius reaches market first: 35%, Neither is available by 2010: 15%

Action history:

Created Fri 1st Feb 2008 12:11pm PST by mcoen
Edited Thu 6th Mar 2008 2:02pm PST by andrew
Changed Suspend date Mon 21st Dec 2009 8:13am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: was: "2009-12-31 23:59:00"
Suspended Thu 24th Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 2nd Jan 10:35am PST by rassi: Looks like "Neither" should win this one.
Settlement requested Tue 12th Jan 8:05am PST by rassi: Why is this question not settled? Per the previous answer, "by 2010" means Jan 1 2010. Neither vehicle is available at this time. Thus, "neither" should be the winner.
Settled as 'Neither is available by 2010' Sat 30th Jan 9:27am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: Neither made it by the beginning of 2010, although both are trying for a 2011 model that might see the sales floor by the end of 2010

Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 30th Jan 9:27am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 24th Dec 2009 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (52)

7 weeks ago
freddiefeelgood predicted Neither is available by 2010 (H$100 at 91%)
13 weeks ago
hasi9119 predicted Plug-in Prius reaches market first (H$100 at 3%)
16 weeks ago
jc4573 predicted Neither is available by 2010 (H$100 at 95%)
24 weeks ago
calster17 predicted Plug-in Prius reaches market first (H$10 at 23%)
30 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted Plug-in Prius reaches market first (H$500 at 13%)

Comments (8)

Is the outcome of this likely to be determined before 2010 ("beat the Chevy Volt to the showroom?") - ?

With a "suspend date" of 2009, will H$ be held, unavailable, until one or the other car gets to the showroom?
posted 1 year ago
  2 lesley[Admin]
We need to take this literally,i.e. it will be settled when the first of these cars hits the showroom. And yes, H$ would be held until that point. (Unless you cash out early of course).
posted 1 year ago
  3 rassi
When you say "by 2010" does that mean Jan 1, 2010, or does that mean Dec 31, 2010?
posted 1 year ago
  4 tisha[Admin]
@rassi - it means before Jan 1 2010 - link from our rules:

http://www.hubdub.com/public/rules
The term "by" will be considered to be exclusive of the date referenced. E.g. "Will the satellite hit earth by March 25th?" will be settled as a "Yes" if it hits prior to March 25th, and 'No' if it hits on March 25th or later. Where possible, category editors should edit 'by' to 'before', to avoid ambiguity.
In outcomes involving dates which are intended to be mutually exclusive, it is suggested that 'between' is inclusive of the dates given unless this leads to date overlap in the outcomes. Where possible, category editors should edit to 'on or between' or 'between, exclusive of' to avoid ambiguity.
posted 1 year ago
  5 petty
For some, it usually works out in favor of the Prius. We just can't wait for a cheap vehicle to be produced. Thus, we know that Prius <a href="http://www.alloemcarparts.com">parts</a> can duplicate its performance of a plug-in hybrid.
posted 1 year ago
  6 petty
For some, it usually works out in favor of the Prius. We just can't wait for a cheap vehicle to be produced. Thus, we know that Prius [url=http://www.alloemcarparts.com]parts[/url] can duplicate its performance of a plug-in hybrid.
posted 1 year ago
  7 rassi
This article (http://www.autoweek.com/article/20090202/CARNEWS/902029995) says the plug-in Prius, which is getting 65 mpg in real-world testing, won't be available until after 2010. Combine that with the fact that Chevy isn't going to even start manufacturing the Volt until Nov 2009 (at the earliest), and it seems as if "Neither" is the one to bet on here....
posted 1 year ago
  8 rassi
Why is this question not settled? Per the previous answer, "by 2010" means Jan 1 2010. Neither vehicle is available at this time. Thus, "neither" should be the winner.
posted 4 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...

Name
Email
New password
By joining you are agreeing to our terms of service

Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags


score: 10
Electric dreams

were dramatically less than electric cars - so the electric car was practically killed at birth. By 1935, electric vehicles had all but disappeared. While there have been half-hearted attempts at personal electric transport since then, it wasn't until

score: 10
Electric Ford Focus in 2011: What it Means

As we reported yesterday, we now know that Ford has made official its plans to build an electric Ford Focus in 2011. Perhaps most notable is that Ford could be the first automaker in the U.S. to mass-market a pure battery-electric passenger car ? and

score: 10
Miles Electric readies all-electric family sedan

Miles Electric Vehicles will test the market for an all-electric vehicles next year with a $45,000 sedan but under a different brand name. The company, founded in 2005, now sells electric

score: 10
Can Uncle Sam Sell Hybrids?

and whoever is running GM and Chrysler will have to confront a more-challenging problem: how to sell the cars they want America to buy. President Barack Obama said during his press conference last week that just because the government could hold shares

score: 10
Newsweek: Will Prius-style hybrids be outdated?

To most of us, Toyota's snazzy Prius hybrid still seems like the cutting edge of cool, the latest and greatest technology in cars. But nine years after the Prius was introduced in the United

More questions by

mcoen
86% of previous questions settled successfully
64 settled, 10 voided