Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
PoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral

Will a post-Kyoto agreement be signed by 2012?

Background: The Kyoto protocol expires in 2012. Will our new world leaders will agree to a similar, replacement protocol?

Settlement details:As reported by the New York Times or the Guardian.
'post-Kyoto agreement' is any treaty or protocol focussed on the reduction of greenhouse gases.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
66%
No
34%
Question suspends in 2 years

Suspend date: Sun 1st Jan 2012 11:59pm PST (2 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 70%

Action history:

Created Thu 10th Jan 2008 10:14pm PST by tisha[Admin]
Edited Thu 6th Mar 2008 1:42pm PST by lesley[Admin]

Suspend date: Sun 1st Jan 2012 11:59pm PST (2 years to go) details

 

Predictions (19)

2 weeks ago
rogerkni predicted No (H$500 at 32%)
7 weeks ago
rogerkni predicted No (H$200 at 30%)
7 weeks ago
teodorik predicted Yes (H$50 at 71%)
8 weeks ago
rogerkni predicted No (H$20 at 29%)
38 weeks ago
koester predicted Yes (H$100 at 65%)

Comments (3)

  1 ryanj
Even if one is signed, it won't be a big deal unless the U.S. or China sign it.
posted 1 year ago
  2 sathu
The Kyoto protocol has been big news, particularly with the EU, which is why there is so much pressure on the US to ratify the next one. Even if the targets haven't been achieved, the political pressure the protocol has generated is still significant.
posted 1 year ago
  3 pics4d
with kyoto, there was supposed to be like 75% of the largest countries sign or whatever...on what basis will this Q be decided?
posted 26 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...

Name
Email
New password
By joining you are agreeing to our terms of service

Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags


score: 10
RI, US join to call for ocean role

we are doing here is not to produce a new process but to strengthen and complement the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change [UNFCCC],? Yudhoyono said. ?Simply put, the ocean community wants ocean issues to be part of the ongoing global climate

score: 10
UN climate talks to include WOC statement

Copenhagen. The UNFCCC is an international treaty on environmental issues related primarily to climate change and rolling back global warming. About 400 climate scientists at the GOPD acknowledged the crucial role oceans played in climate change. They

score: 10
Donors urged to help poor countries adapt to climate change

paying 0.7 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) as official development assistance,' the report said. Adaptation to global warming consists of initiatives to reduce the vulnerability of natural and human systems and increase their resilience and is

score: 10
Examine the Carbon Emissions Trading Markets Worldwide

Market Segmentation, 2008 Compliance Market Table 2-1: Emissions Trading Systems in Compliance Market, 2008 Regulatory Framework United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Table 2-2: UNFCCC Annex I Nations Figure 2-2: UNFCCC Annex 1

score: 10
Climate change negotiations 'are complicated'

financing, forestry and building codes, all of which are designed to curb greenhouse gas emissions that contribute to global warming. She said one significant conference will take place at the end of June in Greenland to be attended by 30 top-ranking