Created Thu 10th Jan 2008 10:14pm PST by

Will a post-Kyoto agreement be signed by 2012?

Background: The Kyoto protocol expires in 2012. Will our new world leaders will agree to a similar, replacement protocol?

Settlement details:As reported by the New York Times or the Guardian.
'post-Kyoto agreement' is any treaty or protocol focussed on the reduction of greenhouse gases.

Forecast history %

Yes

66%

34%

Question suspends in 2 years

Activity: H$6,328
Predictions: 19
Comments: 3

Suspend date: Sun 1st Jan 2012 11:59pm PST (2 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 70%

Action history:

Created Thu 10th Jan 2008 10:14pm PST by

tisha

Edited Thu 6th Mar 2008 1:42pm PST by

lesley [Admin]

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Suspend date: Sun 1st Jan 2012 11:59pm PST (2 years to go) details

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Predictions (19)

2 weeks ago

rogerkni Level 15, Seer (H$449,823)

predicted No (H$500 at 32%)

7 weeks ago

rogerkni Level 15, Seer (H$449,823)

predicted No (H$200 at 30%)

7 weeks ago

teodorik Level 2, Novice (H$1,033)

predicted Yes (H$50 at 71%)

8 weeks ago

rogerkni Level 15, Seer (H$449,823)

predicted No (H$20 at 29%)

38 weeks ago

koester Level 14, Prophet (H$192,935)

predicted Yes (H$100 at 65%)

Comments (3)

ryanj

Even if one is signed, it won't be a big deal unless the U.S. or China sign it.

posted 1 year ago

sathu

The Kyoto protocol has been big news, particularly with the EU, which is why there is so much pressure on the US to ratify the next one. Even if the targets haven't been achieved, the political pressure the protocol has generated is still significant.

posted 1 year ago

pics4d Level 14, Prophet (H$102,377)

with kyoto, there was supposed to be like 75% of the largest countries sign or whatever...on what basis will this Q be decided?

posted 26 weeks ago

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