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Recent predictions

6 days ago
No user imagejohnd predicted Yes (H$50)
4 weeks ago
No user imagemetal_monger predicted Yes (H$74)
4 weeks ago
philphan1 predicted No (H$50)

Will a terrorist attack occur in China during the 2008 Summer Olympics?

Forecast: No (80% chance )
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is No with a probability of 80% (unchanged in last 1 day)

 
% chance over time
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Yes
20%
No
80%
Total activity: H$2,694
Question suspends in 13 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
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  • Question status: Open
  • Suspend date: Sun 24th Aug 11:59pm PST (13 weeks to go)
  • Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.
  • Initial likelihoods: Yes: 15%
Created Mon 25th Feb 7:37am PST by paulcroft
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1 7 30 365
day(s)

score: 10

Boris wants sport legacy to top Olympics agenda


Boris Johnson today pledged to push the sporting legacy for London to the top of his Olympics agenda. . . At his first meeting with the...

score: 10

China can take Olympics in stride


The upcoming 2008 Olympics are a source of pride for many of China's 1.3 billion people, a coming out party for the world's newest economic and ...
Page: 1

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Will a terrorist attack occur in China during the 2008 Summer Olympics?
Yes
6 days ago
No user imagejohnd predicted Yes (H$50)
4 weeks ago
No user imagemetal_monger predicted Yes (H$74)
4 weeks ago
philphan1 predicted No (H$50)
4 weeks ago
kruijs predicted Yes (H$300)
8 weeks ago
kruijs predicted Yes (H$1,000)
12 weeks ago
No user imagehojohnjo predicted Yes (H$100)