Will actor Shia LaBeouf be found guilty of smoking in public?
From Settlement Details: "Any form of plea bargain shall be settled as "Yes"
LaBeouf paid a $500 fine in exchange for having the charges dropped.
Background:
According to one report, "Shia's so determined to fight the system that he's prepared to turn a routine five-second court appearance into an epic battle of multiple drawn-out court appearances and expensive legal fees."
A hearing is set for April 24. If convicted, he faces a maximum penalty of a $1,000 fine and six months in jail.
LaBeouf starred in Transformers, and can next be seen on the big screen opposite Harrison Ford in "Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull."
Will the perception that "those who can afford high-priced attorneys, get away with murder" ...er "smoking" be reinforced by this case, or will LaBeouf be found guilty?
See Settlement Details for definitions.
Settlement details:
[Initial Likelihood set at 50-50]
The final charge does not have to be "smoking in public" -- any similar charge that incorporates and/or results from his alleged smoking will suffice.
If the charge(s) are dropped or withdrawn, this will settle as "No".
Any form of plea bargain shall be settled as "Yes".
A change of plea to, for example, "No Contest" or "Not Responsible" shall go forward, and if found by the court as anything but "Dismissed" or "Not Guilty", shall be settled as "Yes".
Any appeal of a final finding by the court shall have no effect on the settlement of this market.
If a finding in this case is not made by December 31, 2009, this smokin market shall be voided, and all the hundreds of thousands of H$ invested in this market shall be returned.
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Predictions made on or after the date this case is decided shall be voided.
| Yes |
| |||
| No |
|
- Activity: H$1,809 |
- Predictions: 9 |
Comments: 0
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 26th May 2008 7:07am PST
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
newswrangler![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
:
Winning prediction = "Yes"
From Settlement Details:
"Any form of plea bargain shall be settled as "Yes". "
LaBeouf paid a $500 fine in exchange for having the charges dropped. Some reports refer to this as "court costs" -- however, AFAIK, no one who is "not guilty" in a criminal matter ever pays costs.
This matter was decided on Thursday, April 24, 2008. As per the Settlement Details, "Predictions made on or after the date this case is decided shall be voided."
<http://www.allheadlinenews.com/articles/7010781475>
<http://laist.com/2008/04/26/smoking_in_burb.php>
(market suspended)
tisha![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: From Settlement Details: "Any form of plea bargain shall be settled as "Yes"
LaBeouf paid a $500 fine in exchange for having the charges dropped.
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 26th May 2008 7:07am PST details 
Get widget!Predictions (9)
charlesn
predicted Yes (H$50 at 55%)
philphan1
predicted Yes (H$50 at 54%)
steph
predicted Yes (H$100 at 55%)
predicted Yes (H$100 at 54%)
kruijsComments (0)
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