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Will an Airbus A380 crash in 2008?

Forecast: No (84% chance )
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is No with a probability of 84% (unchanged in last 1 day)

 
% chance over time
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Yes
16%
No
84%
Total activity: H$3,000
Question suspends in 31 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
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  • Question status: Open
  • Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (31 weeks to go)
  • Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.
  • Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%
Created Thu 21st Feb 11:02am PST by paulcroft
Edited Fri 22nd Feb 8:09am PST by ryanj[Admin]
Edited Tue 26th Feb 2:06pm PST by lesley[Admin]
Edited Mon 10th Mar 1:40pm PST by diana[Admin]
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1 7 30 365
day(s)

score: 10

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Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon is warning that the death toll from Cyclone Nargis is rising and will increase dramatically unless Myanmar's military ...
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Will an Airbus A380 crash in 2008?
Yes
56 mins ago
jakob predicted No (H$150)
5 days ago
No user imagegadget666 predicted No (H$100)
1 week ago
kbond predicted No (H$100)
2 weeks ago
No user imagekgholderman predicted No (H$20)
4 weeks ago
No user imagesyzslack predicted No (H$100)
10 weeks ago
No user imagedrachenstein predicted No (H$20)
10 weeks ago
No user imagecrstals predicted No (H$20)
11 weeks ago
graphsman predicted No (H$100)
11 weeks ago
No user imagecorky predicted No (H$100)
12 weeks ago
jchiang predicted No (H$50)