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Will another asteroid be rated as a 3 or higher on the Torino Scale before the end of 2010?

Background: The Torino scale measures the threat level of asteroids. See Wikipedia for more info. It only counts if it stays at 3 or higher for more then 2 days.

Level 3 on the scale is defined as:
"A close encounter, meriting attention by astronomers. Current calculations give a 1% or greater chance of collision capable of localized destruction. Most likely, new telescopic observations will lead to re-assignment to Level 0. Attention by public and by public officials is merited if the encounter is less than a decade away." --Wikipedia

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
36%
No
64%
Question suspends in 18 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 31st Mar 2010 11:59pm PST (18 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 35%

Action history:

Created Thu 13th Mar 2008 6:27pm PST by arnos

Suspend date: Wed 31st Mar 2010 11:59pm PST (18 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (27)

11 weeks ago
globalfreezin predicted Yes (H$200 at 36%)
43 weeks ago
letmewinplees predicted Yes (H$100 at 35%)
44 weeks ago
sdchargers[Power User] predicted Yes (H$100 at 35%)
44 weeks ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted No (H$100 at 66%)
44 weeks ago
oppugner predicted Yes (H$50 at 34%)

Comments (3)

what threat level was given to asteriod 2007 TU24 ?
posted 1 year ago
  2 arnos
I am not sure but I am guessing it was a 1.
posted 1 year ago
wow, great question arnos! I love astronomy, I should have thought of this.
posted 44 weeks ago

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